Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.15
Almansa vs Marchamalo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Almansa v Marchamalo in the Tercera División RFEF Group 18. In the table, Almansa are 12th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Marchamalo are 13th (lower half) with 12. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Almansa, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Manchego, away. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Marchamalo, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Tarancón, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Almansa 1.5 xG, Marchamalo 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Almansa 44%, draw 22%, Marchamalo 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almansa 1–1 Marchamalo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Almansa44%fair 2.26 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.25
Marchamalo33%fair 3.00 · @2.88
2.76Expected goals
1.50Almansa xG
1.26Marchamalo xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Almansa 1.5 – 1.3 Marchamalo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almansa to win✓
44%
2.26
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
Almansa (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Marchamalo +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Almansa to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almansa / FT Almansa✗
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.15
–
Recent results
Almansa – last 5
LWDWL
4 Oct
@ Manchego
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Huracán Balazote
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Villacañas
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs La Solana
3–0
W
5 Sep
@ Noblejas
2–3
L
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Marchamalo – last 6
DLDWWW
3 Oct
vs Tarancón
2–2
D
27 Sep
@ Manchego
2–3
L
20 Sep
vs Guadalajara II
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Huracán Balazote
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs CD Villa
2–0
W
30 Aug
vs Unión Adarve
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almansa and Marchamalo.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Almansa vs Marchamalo?
On our numbers Almansa have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Marchamalo 33%.
How many goals will there be in Almansa vs Marchamalo?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almansa vs Marchamalo?
Our predicted score is Almansa 1–1 Marchamalo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Almansa vs Marchamalo?
Almansa vs Marchamalo (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
