Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.40 – our chance 50% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEsteghlal FC to win ✓67% · @1.26
Double chanceEsteghlal FC or draw ✓88% · fair 1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.59
Esteghlal FC vs Mes Shahr-e Babak: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mes Shahr-e Babak travel to face Esteghlal FC on Friday 14 August in the Persian Gulf Pro League, with Azadi Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Esteghlal FC are 5th, upper half, on 21 points after 11 matches; Mes Shahr-e Babak are 18th (in the drop zone) with 5. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Esteghlal FC, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fajr Sepasi, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Mes Shahr-e Babak, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Naft Gachsaran, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Esteghlal FC 2.0 xG, Mes Shahr-e Babak 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Esteghlal FC 67%, draw 21%, Mes Shahr-e Babak 12%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.40.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Esteghlal FC 2–0 Mes Shahr-e Babak. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Esteghlal FC67%fair 1.48 · @1.26
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @4.50
Mes Shahr-e Babak12%fair 8.32 · @10.75
2.71Expected goals
2.00Esteghlal FC xG
0.71Mes Shahr-e Babak xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–013%
1–19%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Esteghlal FC 2.0 – 0.7 Mes Shahr-e Babak expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Esteghlal FC to win✓
67%
1.48
1.26
Double chance
Esteghlal FC or draw✓
88%
1.14
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
2.40 ▲
Draw no bet
Esteghlal FC (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Esteghlal FC -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.82
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.32
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.10
First team to score
Esteghlal FC to score first✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Esteghlal FC ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Esteghlal FC / FT Esteghlal FC✓
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.59
–
Recent results
Esteghlal FC – last 3
WWL
27 Feb
vs Fajr Sepasi
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Mes Rafsanjan
1–0
W
17 Feb
@ Al Hussein
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mes Shahr-e Babak – last 6
WDWWLD
16 Jul
@ Naft Gachsaran
2–0
W
11 Jul
vs Mes Soongoun
0–0
D
3 Jul
@ Shenavarsazi Qeshm
3–1
W
27 Jun
vs Niroye Zamini
1–0
W
21 Jun
@ Nassaji Mazandaran
0–1
L
15 Jun
vs Be'sat Kermanshah
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Esteghlal FC and Mes Shahr-e Babak.
What is the prediction for Esteghlal FC vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Esteghlal FC vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?
On our numbers Esteghlal FC have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mes Shahr-e Babak 12%.
How many goals will there be in Esteghlal FC vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esteghlal FC vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?
Our predicted score is Esteghlal FC 2–0 Mes Shahr-e Babak, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Esteghlal FC vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?
Esteghlal FC vs Mes Shahr-e Babak (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Azadi Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
