Value bet: Fajr Sepasi to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMalavan to win ✗42% · @2.27
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.31
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.13
Malavan vs Fajr Sepasi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Monday 24 August: Malavan v Fajr Sepasi in the Persian Gulf Pro League, played at Sirous Ghayeghran Stadium. In the table, Malavan are 15th, lower half, on 10 points after 12 matches; Fajr Sepasi are 7th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Malavan, last 4: WDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over ZOB Ahan, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Fajr Sepasi, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sanat Naft, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Malavan 0.9 xG, Fajr Sepasi 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Malavan 42%, draw 23%, Fajr Sepasi 35%.
Price worth noting: Fajr Sepasi to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Either team to win (77%, odds 1.31). Most likely score in line with that pick: Malavan 1–0 Fajr Sepasi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Malavan42%fair 2.39 · @2.27
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.05
Fajr Sepasi35%fair 2.88 · @3.10
1.75Expected goals
0.94Malavan xG
0.81Fajr Sepasi xG
38%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–017%
1–016%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Malavan 0.9 – 0.8 Fajr Sepasi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malavan to win✗
42%
2.39
2.27
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.31
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
–
Draw no bet
Malavan (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Fajr Sepasi +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Malavan to score first✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.13
–
Recent results
Malavan – last 4
WDDL
19 Aug
vs ZOB Ahan
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Sanat Naft
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Tractor Sazi
1–1
D
14 Feb
@ Kheybar Khorramabad
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Fajr Sepasi – last 5
DDLWL
19 Aug
vs Sanat Naft
0–0
D
14 Aug
@ Kheybar Khorramabad
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Esteghlal FC
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Shams Azar Qazvin
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Esteghlal Khuzestan
0–1
L
0.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Malavan and Fajr Sepasi.
What is the prediction for Malavan vs Fajr Sepasi?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Malavan vs Fajr Sepasi?
On our numbers Malavan have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fajr Sepasi 35%.
How many goals will there be in Malavan vs Fajr Sepasi?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malavan vs Fajr Sepasi?
Our predicted score is Malavan 1–0 Fajr Sepasi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Malavan vs Fajr Sepasi?
Malavan vs Fajr Sepasi (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Sirous Ghayeghran Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
