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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hoogeveen v Purmersteijn: numbers & prediction

Derde Divisie Saturday · Netherlands
1–3
FT
Hoogeveen 40%Draw 20%Purmersteijn 40% Expected goals 1.80 – 1.78
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultHoogeveen to win ✗40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.43

Hoogeveen vs Purmersteijn: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Hoogeveen welcome Purmersteijn for a Derde Divisie Saturday fixture on Sunday 30 August (13:00 WAT). In the table, Hoogeveen are 12th, upper half, on 14 points after 12 matches; Purmersteijn are 8th (upper half) with 21.

Current form

Hoogeveen, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to VV Scherpenzeel, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hoogeveen 1.8 xG, Purmersteijn 1.8 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hoogeveen 40%, draw 20%, Purmersteijn 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hoogeveen 2–1 Purmersteijn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hoogeveen40%fair 2.48 · @2.20
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
Purmersteijn40%fair 2.52 · @2.62
3.57Expected goals
1.80Hoogeveen xG
1.78Purmersteijn xG
56%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%

From our goals model: Hoogeveen 1.8 – 1.8 Purmersteijn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHoogeveen to win ✗40%2.482.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.78–
Draw no betHoogeveen (draw no bet) ✗50%1.98–
Asian handicapPurmersteijn +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.541.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗52%1.92–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
First team to scoreHoogeveen to score first ✗49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗36%2.80–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hoogeveen / FT Hoogeveen ✗24%4.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.43–

Recent results

Hoogeveen – last 5

LWWWL
22 Aug@ VV Scherpenzeel1–2L
15 Augvs SVZW4–3W
23 Mayvs SC Genemuiden2–1W
22 Marvs VV Scherpenzeel1–0W
15 Feb@ ADO '201–5L
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Purmersteijn – last 2

DW
22 Aug@ Sportlust '461–1D
15 Augvs VV Scherpenzeel3–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hoogeveen and Purmersteijn.

Hoogeveen vs Purmersteijn head-to-head page →

Derde Divisie Saturday table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1ACV12831+1927
2VV Scherpenzeel12831+1027
3Harkemase Boys12822+926
4TEC12732+1524
5Excelsior '3112714+1222
6SC Genemuiden12714+622
7Sportlust '4612642+322
8Purmersteijn12633+721
9Sparta Nijkerk12534+318
10ADO '2012525-117
11Hercules12516-616
12Hoogeveen12426-114
13Eemdijk12417-1213
14DVS 33 Ermelo12237-79
15Staphorst12237-109
16Hollandia12228-138
17Dovo12147-137
18SVZW120111-211
1FC Lisse121011+2231
2Noordwijk121011+2231
3Excelsior Maassluis12822+1326
4Rijnvogels12732+1624
5Zwaluwen12714022
6Poortugaal12705+421
7UDI '1912624+920
8GOES12525-417
9Gemert11443-116
10Dongen12516-216
11Blauw Geel12435-115
12TOGB12336-712
13Roosendaal11326-511
14UNA12255-611
15Vvsb12327-911
16Groene Ster12237-179
17Achilles Veen122010-206
18EVV12039-143

More Derde Divisie Saturday predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hoogeveen vs Purmersteijn?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Hoogeveen vs Purmersteijn?

On our numbers Hoogeveen have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Purmersteijn 40%.

How many goals will there be in Hoogeveen vs Purmersteijn?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hoogeveen vs Purmersteijn?

Our predicted score is Hoogeveen 2–1 Purmersteijn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Hoogeveen vs Purmersteijn?

Hoogeveen vs Purmersteijn (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.