Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗3% · fair 28.70
Excelsior Maassluis vs Noordwijk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Excelsior Maassluis welcome Noordwijk for a Derde Divisie Saturday fixture on Saturday 5 September (13:30 WAT). In the table, Excelsior Maassluis are 3rd, among the top four, on 26 points after 12 matches; Noordwijk are 2nd (among the top four) with 31.
Current form
Excelsior Maassluis, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with ADO '20, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Noordwijk, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over GOES, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Noordwijk, collecting 2.4 points per game to 1.3 for Excelsior Maassluis.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Excelsior Maassluis 1.2 xG, Noordwijk 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Excelsior Maassluis 35%, draw 20%, Noordwijk 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Excelsior Maassluis 1–2 Noordwijk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Excelsior Maassluis35%fair 2.86 · @3.00
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
Noordwijk45%fair 2.22 · @2.00
2.72Expected goals
1.25Excelsior Maassluis xG
1.47Noordwijk xG
50%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Excelsior Maassluis 1.2 – 1.5 Noordwijk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Noordwijk to win✗
45%
2.22
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
–
Draw no bet
Noordwijk (draw no bet)
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Excelsior Maassluis +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Noordwijk to score first✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Noordwijk / FT Noordwijk✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
3%
28.70
–
Recent results
Excelsior Maassluis – last 6
DLWDWL
1 Sep
@ ADO '20
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ FC Lisse
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Groene Ster
3–1
W
15 Aug
@ UDI '19
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Sparta Rotterdam II
4–2
W
13 Jun
@ Ijsselmeervogels
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Noordwijk – last 5
WWWWL
2 Sep
@ GOES
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Roosendaal
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Achilles Veen
4–0
W
15 Aug
vs Blauw Geel
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs De Treffers
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Excelsior Maassluis and Noordwijk.
What is the prediction for Excelsior Maassluis vs Noordwijk?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Excelsior Maassluis vs Noordwijk?
On our numbers Excelsior Maassluis have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Noordwijk 45%.
How many goals will there be in Excelsior Maassluis vs Noordwijk?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Excelsior Maassluis vs Noordwijk?
Our predicted score is Excelsior Maassluis 1–2 Noordwijk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Excelsior Maassluis vs Noordwijk?
Excelsior Maassluis vs Noordwijk (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
