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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Groene Ster v GOES: numbers & prediction

Derde Divisie Saturday · Netherlands
2–1
FT

GOES

LWWWD
Groene Ster 59%Draw 20%GOES 21% Expected goals 2.36 – 1.38
69%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultGroene Ster to win ✓59% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.95

Groene Ster vs GOES: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:30 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Groene Ster v GOES in the Derde Divisie Saturday. In the table, Groene Ster are 16th, upper half, on 9 points after 12 matches; GOES are 8th (upper half) with 17.

Current form

Groene Ster, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Rijnvogels, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.

GOES, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to UDI '19, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours GOES, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Groene Ster.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Groene Ster 1–0 GOES.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Groene Ster 2.4 xG, GOES 1.4 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Groene Ster 59%, draw 20%, GOES 21%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Groene Ster 2–1 GOES. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Groene Ster59%fair 1.70 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @4.20
GOES21%fair 4.74 · @3.60
3.74Expected goals
2.36Groene Ster xG
1.38GOES xG
58%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%

From our goals model: Groene Ster 2.4 – 1.4 GOES expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGroene Ster to win ✓59%1.701.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.73–
Draw no betGroene Ster (draw no bet) ✓74%1.36–
Asian handicapGOES +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69%1.451.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗51%1.95–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
First team to scoreGroene Ster to score first62%1.62–
Half-time resultGroene Ster ahead at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Groene Ster / FT Groene Ster ✗38%2.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.95–

Recent results

Groene Ster – last 6

LLLDWD
3 Oct@ Rijnvogels1–5L
27 Sepvs Gemert1–2L
22 Sepvs AFC Amsterdam1–6L
19 Sep@ EVV1–1D
12 Sepvs Zwaluwen1–0W
5 Sep@ TOGB3–3D
1.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

GOES – last 6

LWWWDL
4 Octvs UDI '190–4L
26 Sep@ Poortugaal3–0W
20 Sepvs UNA2–1W
13 Sep@ Dongen3–2W
6 Sep@ Blauw Geel2–2D
2 Sepvs Noordwijk0–1L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026Groene Ster v GOES1–0
Groene Ster vs GOES head-to-head page →

Derde Divisie Saturday table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1ACV12831+1927
2VV Scherpenzeel12831+1027
3Harkemase Boys12822+926
4TEC12732+1524
5Excelsior '3112714+1222
6SC Genemuiden12714+622
7Sportlust '4612642+322
8Purmersteijn12633+721
9Sparta Nijkerk12534+318
10ADO '2012525-117
11Hercules12516-616
12Hoogeveen12426-114
13Eemdijk12417-1213
14DVS 33 Ermelo12237-79
15Staphorst12237-109
16Hollandia12228-138
17Dovo12147-137
18SVZW120111-211
1FC Lisse121011+2231
2Noordwijk121011+2231
3Excelsior Maassluis12822+1326
4Rijnvogels12732+1624
5Zwaluwen12714022
6Poortugaal12705+421
7UDI '1912624+920
8GOES12525-417
9Gemert11443-116
10Dongen12516-216
11Blauw Geel12435-115
12TOGB12336-712
13Roosendaal11326-511
14UNA12255-611
15Vvsb12327-911
16Groene Ster12237-179
17Achilles Veen122010-206
18EVV12039-143

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Groene Ster vs GOES?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Groene Ster vs GOES?

On our numbers Groene Ster have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and GOES 21%.

How many goals will there be in Groene Ster vs GOES?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Groene Ster vs GOES?

Our predicted score is Groene Ster 2–1 GOES, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Groene Ster vs GOES?

Groene Ster vs GOES (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.