Gemert v Achilles Veen Prediction & Expected Goals (17 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGemert to win ✓56% · @1.83

Double chanceGemert or draw ✓79% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23

Gemert vs Achilles Veen: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gemert welcome Achilles Veen for a Derde Divisie Saturday fixture on Saturday 17 October (18:00 WAT). In the table, Gemert are 9th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Achilles Veen are 17th (upper half) with 6.

Current form

Gemert, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Noordwijk, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Achilles Veen, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over EVV, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Gemert, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Achilles Veen.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gemert 2.0 xG, Achilles Veen 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Gemert 56%, draw 23%, Achilles Veen 21%.
Lower-risk option: Gemert or draw (79%) at 1.28.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Gemert or draw (79%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gemert 2–1 Achilles Veen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gemert56%fair 1.79 · @1.83

Draw23%fair 4.28 · @4.00

Achilles Veen21%fair 4.78 · @3.20

3.25Expected goals

2.04Gemert xG

1.20Achilles Veen xG

55%Both score

64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%

1–110%

2–08%

1–08%

3–17%

2–26%

From our goals model: Gemert 2.0 – 1.2 Achilles Veen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Gemert to win ✓	56%	1.79	1.83
Double chance	Gemert or draw ✓	79%	1.26	1.28
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	55%	1.82	–
Draw no bet	Gemert (draw no bet) ✓	73%	1.38	–
Asian handicap	Achilles Veen +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	66%	1.52	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	83%	1.20	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	64%	1.57	1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	59%	1.69	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	77%	1.29	–
First team to score	Gemert to score first ✓	61%	1.65	–
Half-time result	Gemert ahead at half-time ✓	43%	2.35	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Gemert / FT Gemert ✓	36%	2.78	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.23	–

Gemert – last 6

LLWWDW

10 Oct	@ Noordwijk	0–4	L
4 Oct	vs FC Lisse	0–2	L
27 Sep	@ Groene Ster	2–1	W
23 Sep	@ Ijsselmeervogels	3–0	W
20 Sep	vs UDI '19	1–1	D
12 Sep	@ Poortugaal	2–1	W

1.3Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Achilles Veen – last 6

WLLLLL

10 Oct	vs EVV	1–0	W
3 Oct	@ Zwaluwen	0–1	L
26 Sep	vs TOGB	0–1	L
22 Sep	@ Kloetinge	0–8	L
19 Sep	@ Vvsb	1–2	L
12 Sep	vs Excelsior Maassluis	2–3	L

0.7Scored / game

2.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	ACV	12	8	3	1	+19	27
2	VV Scherpenzeel	12	8	3	1	+10	27
3	Harkemase Boys	12	8	2	2	+9	26
4	TEC	12	7	3	2	+15	24
5	Excelsior '31	12	7	1	4	+12	22
6	SC Genemuiden	12	7	1	4	+6	22
7	Sportlust '46	12	6	4	2	+3	22
8	Purmersteijn	12	6	3	3	+7	21
9	Sparta Nijkerk	12	5	3	4	+3	18
10	ADO '20	12	5	2	5	-1	17
11	Hercules	12	5	1	6	-6	16
12	Hoogeveen	12	4	2	6	-1	14
13	Eemdijk	12	4	1	7	-12	13
14	DVS 33 Ermelo	12	2	3	7	-7	9
15	Staphorst	12	2	3	7	-10	9
16	Hollandia	12	2	2	8	-13	8
17	Dovo	12	1	4	7	-13	7
18	SVZW	12	0	1	11	-21	1
1	FC Lisse	12	10	1	1	+22	31
2	Noordwijk	12	10	1	1	+22	31
3	Excelsior Maassluis	12	8	2	2	+13	26
4	Rijnvogels	12	7	3	2	+16	24
5	Zwaluwen	12	7	1	4	0	22
6	Poortugaal	12	7	0	5	+4	21
7	UDI '19	12	6	2	4	+9	20
8	GOES	12	5	2	5	-4	17
9	Gemert	11	4	4	3	-1	16
10	Dongen	12	5	1	6	-2	16
11	Blauw Geel	12	4	3	5	-1	15
12	TOGB	12	3	3	6	-7	12
13	Roosendaal	11	3	2	6	-5	11
14	UNA	12	2	5	5	-6	11
15	Vvsb	12	3	2	7	-9	11
16	Groene Ster	12	2	3	7	-17	9
17	Achilles Veen	12	2	0	10	-20	6
18	EVV	12	0	3	9	-14	3

Team

Pts

+19

+10

+15

+12

-1

-6

-1

-12

-7

-10

-13

-13

-21

+22

+22

+13

+16

-4

-1

-2

-1

-7

-5

-6

-9

-17

-20

-14

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gemert vs Achilles Veen?

Our pick is Gemert or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Gemert vs Achilles Veen?

On our numbers Gemert have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Achilles Veen 21%.

How many goals will there be in Gemert vs Achilles Veen?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gemert vs Achilles Veen?

Our predicted score is Gemert 2–1 Achilles Veen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Gemert vs Achilles Veen?

Gemert vs Achilles Veen (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Gemert v Achilles Veen: numbers & prediction