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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Harkemase Boys v Excelsior '31: numbers & prediction

Derde Divisie Saturday · Netherlands
4–0
FT
Harkemase Boys 55%Draw 22%Excelsior '31 22% Expected goals 2.15 – 1.33
78%
Betarazi pick

Harkemase Boys or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultHarkemase Boys to win ✓55% · @1.91
Double chanceHarkemase Boys or draw ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.56

Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:30 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Harkemase Boys v Excelsior '31 in the Derde Divisie Saturday. In the table, Harkemase Boys are 3rd, among the top four, on 26 points after 12 matches; Excelsior '31 are 5th (upper half) with 22.

Current form

Harkemase Boys, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Dovo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Excelsior '31, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over SC Genemuiden, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Excelsior '31, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Harkemase Boys.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Sep 2026) it ended Harkemase Boys 0–1 Excelsior '31.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Harkemase Boys 2.2 xG, Excelsior '31 1.3 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Harkemase Boys 55%, draw 22%, Excelsior '31 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: Harkemase Boys or draw (78%) at 1.33.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Harkemase Boys or draw (78%, odds 1.33 – longer than our fair 1.29, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Harkemase Boys 2–1 Excelsior '31. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Harkemase Boys55%fair 1.81 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @4.10
Excelsior '3122%fair 4.49 · @2.88
3.48Expected goals
2.15Harkemase Boys xG
1.33Excelsior '31 xG
55%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Harkemase Boys 2.2 – 1.3 Excelsior '31 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHarkemase Boys to win ✓55%1.811.91 ▲
Double chanceHarkemase Boys or draw ✓78%1.291.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.82–
Draw no betHarkemase Boys (draw no bet) ✓71%1.40–
Asian handicapExcelsior '31 +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.491.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗54%1.85–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
First team to scoreHarkemase Boys to score first ✓60%1.67–
Half-time resultHarkemase Boys ahead at half-time ✓43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Harkemase Boys / FT Harkemase Boys ✓36%2.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.56–

Recent results

Harkemase Boys – last 6

WWLDWD
17 Oct@ Dovo3–2W
10 Octvs Hoogeveen2–1W
3 Oct@ Purmersteijn2–4L
26 Sepvs VV Scherpenzeel0–0D
19 Sep@ SVZW2–1W
12 Sepvs Staphorst1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Excelsior '31 – last 6

WLWWWW
17 Octvs SC Genemuiden5–0W
10 Oct@ ADO '201–3L
3 Oct@ Sportlust '463–0W
26 Sepvs Dovo3–0W
22 Sepvs AFC '344–3W
19 Sep@ Hoogeveen2–0W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Sep 2026Harkemase Boys v Excelsior '310–1
Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31 head-to-head page →

Derde Divisie Saturday table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1ACV12831+1927
2VV Scherpenzeel12831+1027
3Harkemase Boys12822+926
4TEC12732+1524
5Excelsior '3112714+1222
6SC Genemuiden12714+622
7Sportlust '4612642+322
8Purmersteijn12633+721
9Sparta Nijkerk12534+318
10ADO '2012525-117
11Hercules12516-616
12Hoogeveen12426-114
13Eemdijk12417-1213
14DVS 33 Ermelo12237-79
15Staphorst12237-109
16Hollandia12228-138
17Dovo12147-137
18SVZW120111-211
1FC Lisse121011+2231
2Noordwijk121011+2231
3Excelsior Maassluis12822+1326
4Rijnvogels12732+1624
5Zwaluwen12714022
6Poortugaal12705+421
7UDI '1912624+920
8GOES12525-417
9Gemert11443-116
10Dongen12516-216
11Blauw Geel12435-115
12TOGB12336-712
13Roosendaal11326-511
14UNA12255-611
15Vvsb12327-911
16Groene Ster12237-179
17Achilles Veen122010-206
18EVV12039-143

More Derde Divisie Saturday predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31?

Our pick is Harkemase Boys or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31?

On our numbers Harkemase Boys have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Excelsior '31 22%.

How many goals will there be in Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31?

Our predicted score is Harkemase Boys 2–1 Excelsior '31, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31?

Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31 (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.