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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Staphorst v Eemdijk: numbers & prediction

Derde Divisie Saturday · Netherlands
1–3
FT

Eemdijk

LLWWD
Staphorst 62%Draw 17%Eemdijk 21% Expected goals 2.42 – 1.35
71%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.32 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.32Odds
1

Value bet: Staphorst to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultStaphorst to win ✗62% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.97

Staphorst vs Eemdijk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Eemdijk travel to face Staphorst on Saturday 7 November in the Derde Divisie Saturday – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Staphorst are 15th, upper half, on 9 points after 12 matches; Eemdijk are 13th (upper half) with 13.

Current form

Staphorst, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Hercules, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Eemdijk, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Hollandia, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Staphorst 2.4 xG, Eemdijk 1.4 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Staphorst 62%, draw 17%, Eemdijk 21%.
  • GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.33.
  • Price worth noting: Staphorst to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Staphorst 2–1 Eemdijk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Staphorst62%fair 1.62 · @1.80
Draw17%fair 5.87 · @3.84
Eemdijk21%fair 4.74 · @3.26
3.77Expected goals
2.42Staphorst xG
1.35Eemdijk xG
67%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%

From our goals model: Staphorst 2.4 – 1.4 Eemdijk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStaphorst to win ✗62%1.621.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83%1.211.16
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓67%1.491.33
Draw no betStaphorst (draw no bet) ✗75%1.34–
Asian handicapStaphorst -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.421.32
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓51%1.971.86
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓68%1.471.32
First team to scoreStaphorst to score first ✗63%1.60–
Half-time resultStaphorst ahead at half-time ✗46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Staphorst / FT Staphorst ✗40%2.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.97–

Recent results

Staphorst – last 6

LWWLLL
24 Oct@ Hercules1–4L
17 Octvs DVS 33 Ermelo2–1W
10 Oct@ Hollandia4–2W
3 Octvs TEC0–3L
26 Sep@ Sparta Nijkerk2–3L
22 Sepvs SC Genemuiden2–3L
1.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Eemdijk – last 6

LLWWDL
31 Octvs Hollandia0–1L
28 Oct@ Quick Boys0–4L
23 Octvs Sportlust '463–1W
17 Octvs Hercules2–0W
10 Oct@ DVS 33 Ermelo2–2D
26 Sep@ TEC2–7L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Staphorst and Eemdijk.

Staphorst vs Eemdijk head-to-head page →

Derde Divisie Saturday table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1ACV12831+1927
2VV Scherpenzeel12831+1027
3Harkemase Boys12822+926
4TEC12732+1524
5Excelsior '3112714+1222
6SC Genemuiden12714+622
7Sportlust '4612642+322
8Purmersteijn12633+721
9Sparta Nijkerk12534+318
10ADO '2012525-117
11Hercules12516-616
12Hoogeveen12426-114
13Eemdijk12417-1213
14DVS 33 Ermelo12237-79
15Staphorst12237-109
16Hollandia12228-138
17Dovo12147-137
18SVZW120111-211
1FC Lisse121011+2231
2Noordwijk121011+2231
3Excelsior Maassluis12822+1326
4Rijnvogels12732+1624
5Zwaluwen12714022
6Poortugaal12705+421
7UDI '1912624+920
8GOES12525-417
9Gemert11443-116
10Dongen12516-216
11Blauw Geel12435-115
12TOGB12336-712
13Roosendaal11326-511
14UNA12255-611
15Vvsb12327-911
16Groene Ster12237-179
17Achilles Veen122010-206
18EVV12039-143

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Staphorst vs Eemdijk?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.

Who will win Staphorst vs Eemdijk?

On our numbers Staphorst have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Eemdijk 21%.

How many goals will there be in Staphorst vs Eemdijk?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Staphorst vs Eemdijk?

Our predicted score is Staphorst 2–1 Eemdijk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Staphorst vs Eemdijk?

Staphorst vs Eemdijk (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.