Wednesday 11 November 2026 18 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Uruguay Montevideo v Atenas: numbers & prediction

1–2
FT

Atenas

WWLLD
Uruguay Montevideo 37%Draw 24%Atenas 38% Expected goals 1.21 – 1.24
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultAtenas to win ✓38% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.47

Uruguay Montevideo vs Atenas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atenas travel to face Uruguay Montevideo on Saturday 15 August in the Segunda División – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Uruguay Montevideo are 14th, in the drop zone, on 22 points after 25 matches; Atenas are 1st (leading the league) with 44. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Uruguay Montevideo, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Paysandu, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Atenas, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Oriental, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (9 May 2026) it ended Atenas 2–1 Uruguay Montevideo. The last 2 head-to-heads: Uruguay Montevideo 1 win, Atenas 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Uruguay Montevideo 1.2 xG, Atenas 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Uruguay Montevideo 37%, draw 24%, Atenas 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Uruguay Montevideo 1–1 Atenas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Uruguay Montevideo37%fair 2.69 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.95
Atenas38%fair 2.60 · @2.75
2.45Expected goals
1.21Uruguay Montevideo xG
1.24Atenas xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Uruguay Montevideo 1.2 – 1.2 Atenas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtenas to win ✓38%2.602.75 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.781.85
Draw no betAtenas (draw no bet) ✓51%1.97–
Asian handicapUruguay Montevideo +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.461.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.771.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.291.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreAtenas to score first ✓46%2.16–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atenas / FT Atenas ✓21%4.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8%12.47–

Recent results

Uruguay Montevideo – last 6

WWDDLW
8 Augvs Paysandu1–0W
1 Aug@ Sportivo Huracan3–1W
18 Julvs CA River Plate1–1D
12 Julvs Oriental1–1D
6 Jul@ Colón0–1L
27 Junvs Fenix3–2W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Atenas – last 6

WWLLDW
9 Aug@ Oriental1–0W
3 Augvs Colón4–1W
26 Jul@ Fenix0–1L
12 Julvs Rentistas1–3L
6 Jul@ Miramar1–1D
27 Junvs Tacuarembo2–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 May 2026Atenas v Uruguay Montevideo2–1
1 Apr 2026Atenas v Uruguay Montevideo0–1
Uruguay Montevideo vs Atenas head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Uruguay Montevideo vs Atenas?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Uruguay Montevideo vs Atenas?

On our numbers Uruguay Montevideo have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atenas 38%.

How many goals will there be in Uruguay Montevideo vs Atenas?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Uruguay Montevideo vs Atenas?

Our predicted score is Uruguay Montevideo 1–1 Atenas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Uruguay Montevideo vs Atenas?

Uruguay Montevideo vs Atenas (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.