Universitario de Vinto 60%Draw 25%Independiente Petrolero 16%Expected goals 2.11 – 1.03
62%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultUniversitario de Vinto to win ✓60% · @1.70
Double chanceUniversitario de Vinto or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:15 WAT, Sunday 13 September: Universitario de Vinto v Independiente Petrolero in the Primera División. In the table, Universitario de Vinto are 14th, in the drop zone, on 22 points after 25 matches; Independiente Petrolero are 11th (lower half) with 30.
Current form
Universitario de Vinto, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to The Strongest, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Independiente Petrolero, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bolívar, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Independiente Petrolero, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Universitario de Vinto.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Apr 2026) it ended Independiente Petrolero 2–1 Universitario de Vinto.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Universitario de Vinto 2.1 xG, Independiente Petrolero 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Universitario de Vinto 60%, draw 25%, Independiente Petrolero 16%.
Lower-risk option: Universitario de Vinto or draw (84%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Universitario de Vinto 2–1 Independiente Petrolero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Universitario de Vinto60%fair 1.67 · @1.70
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.50
Independiente Petrolero16%fair 6.45 · @4.00
3.14Expected goals
2.11Universitario de Vinto xG
1.03Independiente Petrolero xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Universitario de Vinto 2.1 – 1.0 Independiente Petrolero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universitario de Vinto to win✓
60%
1.67
1.70
Double chance
Universitario de Vinto or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Draw no bet
Universitario de Vinto (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Universitario de Vinto -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
Universitario de Vinto to score first
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Universitario de Vinto ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universitario de Vinto / FT Universitario de Vinto✗
What is the prediction for Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero?
On our numbers Universitario de Vinto have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Independiente Petrolero 16%.
How many goals will there be in Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero?
Our predicted score is Universitario de Vinto 2–1 Independiente Petrolero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero?
Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 22:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
