Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Guabirá to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGuabirá to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceGuabirá or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Guabirá vs Aurora: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guabirá welcome Aurora to Estadio Gilberto Parada for a Primera División fixture on Wednesday 16 September (20:00 WAT). In the table, Guabirá are 8th, upper half, on 33 points after 25 matches; Aurora are 6th (upper half) with 36. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Guabirá, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Always Ready, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Aurora, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over San Antonio Bulo Bulo, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Aurora, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.3 for Guabirá.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guabirá 2.1 xG, Aurora 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guabirá 60%, draw 23%, Aurora 17%.
Lower-risk option: Guabirá or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Guabirá to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Guabirá or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guabirá 2–1 Aurora. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guabirá60%fair 1.67 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.40
Aurora17%fair 5.81 · @3.40
3.18Expected goals
2.11Guabirá xG
1.07Aurora xG
64%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Guabirá 2.1 – 1.1 Aurora expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guabirá to win✓
60%
1.67
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Guabirá or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.44
Draw no bet
Guabirá (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Guabirá -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Guabirá to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Guabirá ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guabirá / FT Guabirá✓
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Guabirá – last 6
LLDLLD
13 Sep
@ Always Ready
0–6
L
9 Sep
@ Oriente Petrolero
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Real Potosí
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1–5
L
27 Aug
@ Independiente Petrolero
1–3
L
23 Aug
vs Blooming
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aurora – last 6
WWWDDD
11 Sep
@ San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2–0
W
8 Sep
vs Real Potosí
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ
3–0
W
2 Sep
@ Universitario de Vinto
1–1
D
27 Aug
@ Always Ready
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Real Potosí
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guabirá and Aurora.
Our pick is Guabirá or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Guabirá vs Aurora?
On our numbers Guabirá have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aurora 17%.
How many goals will there be in Guabirá vs Aurora?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guabirá vs Aurora?
Our predicted score is Guabirá 2–1 Aurora, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Guabirá vs Aurora?
Guabirá vs Aurora (Primera División) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gilberto Parada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
