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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bolívar v Gualberto Villarroel SJ: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Bolivia · Estadio Hernando Siles
4–2
FT
Bolívar 72%Draw 16%Gualberto Villarroel SJ 13% Expected goals 2.36 – 0.85
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultBolívar to win ✓72% · @1.10
Double chanceBolívar or draw ✓87% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46

Bolívar vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 18 September the Primera División brings Bolívar against Gualberto Villarroel SJ at Estadio Hernando Siles. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT. In the table, Bolívar are 1st, leading the league, on 60 points after 25 matches; Gualberto Villarroel SJ are 15th (in the drop zone) with 20. There are 40 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Bolívar, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Real Tomayapo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.

Gualberto Villarroel SJ, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Nacional Potosí, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Bolívar, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.7 for Gualberto Villarroel SJ.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Sep 2026) it ended Gualberto Villarroel SJ 0–1 Bolívar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bolívar 2.4 xG, Gualberto Villarroel SJ 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bolívar 72%, draw 16%, Gualberto Villarroel SJ 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.69, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bolívar 2–1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bolívar72%fair 1.39 · @1.10
Draw16%fair 6.37 · @8.00
Gualberto Villarroel SJ13%fair 7.93 · @26.00
3.21Expected goals
2.36Bolívar xG
0.85Gualberto Villarroel SJ xG
59%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
3–09%
1–18%
3–18%

From our goals model: Bolívar 2.4 – 0.9 Gualberto Villarroel SJ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBolívar to win ✓72%1.391.10
Double chanceBolívar or draw ✓87%1.141.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.80 ▲
Draw no betBolívar (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapBolívar -1 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗78%1.28–
First team to scoreBolívar to score first ✓70%1.42–
Half-time resultBolívar ahead at half-time ✓52%1.93–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bolívar / FT Bolívar ✓47%2.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.46–

Recent results

Bolívar – last 6

WDWWWW
14 Sep@ Real Tomayapo2–1W
11 Sepvs Independiente Petrolero1–1D
6 Sep@ Independiente Petrolero4–0W
2 Sep@ Gualberto Villarroel SJ1–0W
30 Augvs The Strongest4–2W
28 Augvs ABB4–1W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Gualberto Villarroel SJ – last 6

LLLLWD
12 Sepvs Nacional Potosí0–3L
10 Sep@ Blooming1–5L
5 Sep@ Aurora0–3L
2 Sepvs Bolívar0–1L
29 Augvs Real Oruro4–1W
25 Augvs Oriente Petrolero3–3D
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Sep 2026Gualberto Villarroel SJ v Bolívar0–1
Bolívar vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bolívar251933+3760
2Always Ready251762+4257
3The Strongest251465+1748
4Oriente Petrolero251258+1241
5Real Potosí2510105+1440
6Aurora258125+436
7Nacional Potosí259610+433
8Guabirá259610-1033
9Blooming257108+631
10Real Oruro259412-1731
11Independiente Petrolero258611-1030
12San Antonio Bulo Bulo258314-2227
13Real Tomayapo256514-2323
14Universitario de Vinto256415-1722
15Gualberto Villarroel SJ254813-1720
16ABB256217-2020

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bolívar vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Bolívar vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

On our numbers Bolívar have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Gualberto Villarroel SJ 13%.

How many goals will there be in Bolívar vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bolívar vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Our predicted score is Bolívar 2–1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Bolívar vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Bolívar vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Hernando Siles.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.