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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

TP Mazembe v Medeama: numbers & prediction

CAF Champions League · Africa

TP Mazembe

WWWDW
3–1
FT

Medeama

LWLLW
TP Mazembe 5%Draw 89%Medeama 6% Expected goals 0.49 – 0.51
98%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.02 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultDraw ✗89% · fair 1.12
Double chanceMedeama or draw ✗95% · fair 1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗70% · fair 1.42
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗37% · fair 2.72

TP Mazembe vs Medeama: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 12 September the CAF Champions League brings TP Mazembe against Medeama. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.

Current form

TP Mazembe, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Medeama, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Medeama, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to TP Mazembe, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours TP Mazembe, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Medeama.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Sep 2026) it ended Medeama 0–1 TP Mazembe.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give TP Mazembe 0.5 xG, Medeama 0.5 xG – a total near 1.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 92% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – TP Mazembe 5%, draw 89%, Medeama 6%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (98%). Most likely score in line with that pick: TP Mazembe 0–0 Medeama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

TP Mazembe5%fair 20.00
Draw89%fair 1.12
Medeama6%fair 16.67
1.00Expected goals
0.49TP Mazembe xG
0.51Medeama xG
30%Both score
8%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–037%
0–119%
1–018%
1–19%
0–25%
2–04%

From our goals model: TP Mazembe 0.5 – 0.5 Medeama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw ✗89%1.12–
Double chanceMedeama or draw ✗95%1.05–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗70%1.42–
Draw no betMedeama (draw no bet) ✗55%1.83–
Asian handicapTP Mazembe +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗92%1.09–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗98%1.02–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓100%1.00–
First team to scoreNo goal ✗37%2.72–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗68%1.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗37%2.72–

Recent results

TP Mazembe – last 6

WWWDWL
6 Sep@ Medeama1–0W
20 Junvs Céleste2–0W
17 Jun@ Don Bosco3–0W
14 Junvs Saint Eloi Lupopo0–0D
11 Junvs JSK2–0W
7 Jun@ Maniema Union1–2L
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Medeama – last 6

LWLLWL
6 Sepvs TP Mazembe0–1L
12 Aug@ ASEC Mimosas2–1W
8 Aug@ SOA1–2L
24 May@ Hearts of Oak2–4L
17 Mayvs Heart of Lions5–2W
6 May@ Berekum Chelsea1–2L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Sep 2026Medeama v TP Mazembe0–1
TP Mazembe vs Medeama head-to-head page →

More CAF Champions League predictions

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FT Al Hilal Omdurman1 Aigle Noir0 169%1.28X19%4.20212%10.00 1.9–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 72%@1.40 ✓
FT Petro de Luanda2 Songo2 164%1.36X20%4.00216%7.50 1.4–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.33 ✗
FT Rahimo0 Maghreb Fès0 119%5.00X20%4.00261%1.50 1.4–2.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 84%@1.20 ✗
FT Djoliba2 Club Africain2 117%3.60X55%2.80229%2.10 0.4–0.6xG X2Club Africain or draw 83%@1.25 ✓
FT MC Alger5 NIGELEC0 174%1.17X18%6.0028%13.00 1MC Alger to win 74%@1.17 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for TP Mazembe vs Medeama?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 98% chance.

Who will win TP Mazembe vs Medeama?

On our numbers TP Mazembe have a 5% chance of winning, the draw 89% and Medeama 6%.

How many goals will there be in TP Mazembe vs Medeama?

We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 30% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for TP Mazembe vs Medeama?

Our predicted score is TP Mazembe 0–0 Medeama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.

When is TP Mazembe vs Medeama?

TP Mazembe vs Medeama (CAF Champions League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.