Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultAurora to win ✗61% · @1.62
Double chanceAurora or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Aurora vs Nacional Potosí: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nacional Potosí travel to face Aurora on Sunday 11 October in the Primera División – the ball rolls at 22:15 WAT. In the table, Aurora are 6th, upper half, on 36 points after 25 matches; Nacional Potosí are 7th (upper half) with 33. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Aurora, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over ABB, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Nacional Potosí, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Always Ready, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (10 Jul 2026) it ended Nacional Potosí 2–0 Aurora.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aurora 2.0 xG, Nacional Potosí 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aurora 61%, draw 21%, Nacional Potosí 18%.
Lower-risk option: Aurora or draw (82%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Aurora to win (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aurora 1–0 Nacional Potosí. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aurora61%fair 1.64 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.75
Nacional Potosí18%fair 5.61 · @4.50
2.90Expected goals
1.95Aurora xG
0.95Nacional Potosí xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Aurora 2.0 – 0.9 Nacional Potosí expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Aurora vs Nacional Potosí?
Our pick is Aurora to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Aurora vs Nacional Potosí?
On our numbers Aurora have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nacional Potosí 18%.
How many goals will there be in Aurora vs Nacional Potosí?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aurora vs Nacional Potosí?
Our predicted score is Aurora 1–0 Nacional Potosí, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Aurora vs Nacional Potosí?
Aurora vs Nacional Potosí (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 22:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.