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Real Tomayapo v Gualberto Villarroel SJ: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Bolivia · Estadio IV Centenario
Real Tomayapo 62%Draw 22%Gualberto Villarroel SJ 15% Expected goals 1.94 – 0.85
85%
Betarazi pick

Real Tomayapo or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Real Tomayapo to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultReal Tomayapo to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceReal Tomayapo or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18

Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 17 October the Primera División brings Real Tomayapo against Gualberto Villarroel SJ at Estadio IV Centenario. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Real Tomayapo are 13th, lower half, on 23 points after 25 matches; Gualberto Villarroel SJ are 15th (in the drop zone) with 20. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Real Tomayapo, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with San Antonio Bulo Bulo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Gualberto Villarroel SJ, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Guabirá, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Jul 2026) it ended Gualberto Villarroel SJ 3–2 Real Tomayapo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Tomayapo 1.9 xG, Gualberto Villarroel SJ 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Tomayapo 62%, draw 22%, Gualberto Villarroel SJ 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Real Tomayapo or draw (85%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: Real Tomayapo to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Real Tomayapo or draw (85%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Tomayapo 1–0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Tomayapo62%fair 1.60 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.40
Gualberto Villarroel SJ15%fair 6.52 · @3.50
2.79Expected goals
1.94Real Tomayapo xG
0.85Gualberto Villarroel SJ xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Real Tomayapo 1.9 – 0.9 Gualberto Villarroel SJ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Tomayapo to win ✓62%1.601.85 ▲
Double chanceReal Tomayapo or draw ✓85%1.181.25 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.621.50
Draw no betReal Tomayapo (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapReal Tomayapo -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.89–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreReal Tomayapo to score first ✓65%1.53–
Half-time resultReal Tomayapo ahead at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Tomayapo / FT Real Tomayapo ✓40%2.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.18–

Recent results

Real Tomayapo – last 6

DLLDWL
9 Oct@ San Antonio Bulo Bulo0–0D
6 Oct@ Real Oruro0–4L
3 Oct@ Always Ready0–4L
30 Sepvs Nacional Potosí1–1D
28 Sepvs Real Oruro2–1W
22 Sep@ Independiente Petrolero1–5L
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Gualberto Villarroel SJ – last 6

WLWLLL
12 Octvs Guabirá4–1W
7 Oct@ Independiente Petrolero0–1L
4 Octvs Blooming3–2W
1 Oct@ Bolívar2–3L
27 Sepvs Independiente Petrolero1–3L
20 Sep@ Real Oruro0–1L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Jul 2026Gualberto Villarroel SJ v Real Tomayapo3–2
Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bolívar251933+3760
2Always Ready251762+4257
3The Strongest251465+1748
4Oriente Petrolero251258+1241
5Real Potosí2510105+1440
6Aurora258125+436
7Nacional Potosí259610+433
8Guabirá259610-1033
9Blooming257108+631
10Real Oruro259412-1731
11Independiente Petrolero258611-1030
12San Antonio Bulo Bulo258314-2227
13Real Tomayapo256514-2323
14Universitario de Vinto256415-1722
15Gualberto Villarroel SJ254813-1720
16ABB256217-2020

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Our pick is Real Tomayapo or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

On our numbers Real Tomayapo have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gualberto Villarroel SJ 15%.

How many goals will there be in Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Our predicted score is Real Tomayapo 1–0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio IV Centenario.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.