Nacional Potosí 21%Draw 18%Bolívar 61%Expected goals 1.16 – 2.15
61%
Betarazi pick
Bolívar to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultBolívar to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nacional Potosí welcome Bolívar for a Primera División fixture on Sunday 18 October (20:00 WAT). In the table, Nacional Potosí are 7th, upper half, on 33 points after 25 matches; Bolívar are 1st (leading the league) with 60. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nacional Potosí, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Aurora, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Bolívar, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Blooming, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Bolívar, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for Nacional Potosí.
Head to head
When they last met (14 May 2026) it ended Bolívar 1–1 Nacional Potosí.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nacional Potosí 1.2 xG, Bolívar 2.2 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nacional Potosí 21%, draw 18%, Bolívar 61%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bolívar to win (61%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nacional Potosí 1–2 Bolívar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nacional Potosí21%fair 4.76 · @3.60
Draw18%fair 5.65 · @3.60
Bolívar61%fair 1.63 · @1.75
3.31Expected goals
1.16Nacional Potosí xG
2.15Bolívar xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Nacional Potosí 1.2 – 2.2 Bolívar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar?
Our pick is Bolívar to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar?
On our numbers Nacional Potosí have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Bolívar 61%.
How many goals will there be in Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar?
Our predicted score is Nacional Potosí 1–2 Bolívar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar?
Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
