Value bet: Tamworth to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTamworth to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗73% · @1.33
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–2 ✗6% · fair 18.04
Tamworth vs Leeds United U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 6 October the National League Cup brings Tamworth against Leeds United U21 at The Lamb Ground. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT.
Current form
Tamworth, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hartlepool, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Leeds United U21, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Barnsley, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tamworth 3.5 xG, Leeds United U21 2.5 xG – a total near 6.0. That is an open game on paper: 94% for three or more goals, 73% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tamworth 58%, draw 16%, Leeds United U21 25%.
GG/NG: GG (73%) at 1.33.
Price worth noting: Tamworth to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tamworth 3–2 Leeds United U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tamworth58%fair 1.71 · @1.85
Draw16%fair 6.12 · @3.50
Leeds United U2125%fair 3.96 · @3.30
6.00Expected goals
3.53Tamworth xG
2.47Leeds United U21 xG
73%Both score
94%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–26%
4–25%
2–25%
3–35%
3–14%
4–34%
From our goals model: Tamworth 3.5 – 2.5 Leeds United U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tamworth to win✓
58%
1.71
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
73%
1.36
1.33
Draw no bet
Tamworth (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Leeds United U21 +2 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
98%
1.02
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
First team to score
Tamworth to score first✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Tamworth ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tamworth / FT Tamworth✓
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–2✗
6%
18.04
–
Recent results
Tamworth – last 6
WWLWLL
3 Oct
@ Hartlepool
1–0
W
30 Sep
vs Sutton Utd
2–0
W
26 Sep
@ Aldershot Town
1–5
L
19 Sep
vs Wealdstone
2–1
W
15 Sep
@ Southend
1–3
L
12 Sep
@ Harrogate Town
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Leeds United U21 – last 6
WWDWLL
22 Sep
@ Barnsley
4–3
W
19 Sep
vs Newcastle United U21
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Middlesbrough U21
4–4
D
8 Sep
@ Solihull Moors
3–2
W
4 Sep
@ Charlton Athletic U21
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ Liverpool U21
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tamworth and Leeds United U21.
What is the prediction for Tamworth vs Leeds United U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Tamworth vs Leeds United U21?
On our numbers Tamworth have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Leeds United U21 25%.
How many goals will there be in Tamworth vs Leeds United U21?
We expect about 6.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 94% likely and both teams score 73% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tamworth vs Leeds United U21?
Our predicted score is Tamworth 3–2 Leeds United U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 6.0 goals in total.
When is Tamworth vs Leeds United U21?
Tamworth vs Leeds United U21 (National League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Lamb Ground.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
AFC Hornchurch1
Fulham U211
Solihull Moors2
Newcastle United U211