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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Tomayapo v Nacional Potosí: numbers & prediction

Copa De La División Profesional · Bolivia · Estadio IV Centenario
1–1
FT
Real Tomayapo 61%Draw 16%Nacional Potosí 23% Expected goals 2.62 – 1.58
68%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.55Odds
1

Value bet: Real Tomayapo to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultReal Tomayapo to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.30

Real Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosí: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nacional Potosí travel to face Real Tomayapo on Wednesday 30 September in the Copa De La División Profesional, with Estadio IV Centenario the venue – the ball rolls at 23:30 WAT.

Current form

Real Tomayapo, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Real Oruro, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Nacional Potosí, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 9–0 win over Always Ready, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Nacional Potosí, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Real Tomayapo.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Sep 2026) it ended Nacional Potosí 5–1 Real Tomayapo. The last 2 head-to-heads: Real Tomayapo 0 wins, Nacional Potosí 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 5.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Tomayapo 2.6 xG, Nacional Potosí 1.6 xG – a total near 4.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 79% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Tomayapo 61%, draw 16%, Nacional Potosí 23%.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.55.
  • Price worth noting: Real Tomayapo to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.48, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Tomayapo 2–1 Nacional Potosí. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Tomayapo61%fair 1.64 · @1.95
Draw16%fair 6.35 · @3.50
Nacional Potosí23%fair 4.32 · @3.00
4.20Expected goals
2.62Real Tomayapo xG
1.58Nacional Potosí xG
68%Both score
79%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
3–17%
2–26%
1–16%
3–26%
2–05%

From our goals model: Real Tomayapo 2.6 – 1.6 Nacional Potosí expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Tomayapo to win ✗61%1.641.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84%1.191.25 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓68%1.481.55
Draw no betReal Tomayapo (draw no bet)73%1.38–
Asian handicapNacional Potosí +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗79%1.27–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗60%1.65–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓59%1.70–
First team to scoreReal Tomayapo to score first61%1.63–
Half-time resultReal Tomayapo ahead at half-time ✗47%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Tomayapo / FT Real Tomayapo ✗39%2.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.30–

Recent results

Real Tomayapo – last 6

WLLLWL
28 Sepvs Real Oruro2–1W
22 Sep@ Independiente Petrolero1–5L
17 Sepvs Oriente Petrolero0–2L
14 Sepvs Bolívar1–2L
10 Sepvs Always Ready2–0W
6 Sep@ The Strongest1–3L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Nacional Potosí – last 6

WLDLWW
26 Sepvs Always Ready9–0W
23 Sepvs Real Potosí0–1L
20 Sep@ Real Potosí2–2D
16 Sepvs Always Ready0–4L
12 Sep@ Gualberto Villarroel SJ3–0W
9 Sep@ Real Oruro2–0W
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Sep 2026Nacional Potosí v Real Tomayapo5–1
27 Jul 2026Nacional Potosí v Real Tomayapo4–1
Real Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosí head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosí?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Real Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosí?

On our numbers Real Tomayapo have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Nacional Potosí 23%.

How many goals will there be in Real Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosí?

We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosí?

Our predicted score is Real Tomayapo 2–1 Nacional Potosí, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.

When is Real Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosí?

Real Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosí (Copa De La División Profesional) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio IV Centenario.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.