Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.39
Folgore vs Murata: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:15 WAT, Friday 28 August: Folgore v Murata in the Campionato. In the table, Folgore are 1st, leading the league, on 22 points after 8 matches; Murata are 14th (in the drop zone) with 4. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Folgore, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Domagnano, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Murata, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Juvenes Dogana, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.
Momentum favours Folgore, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.0 for Murata.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Folgore 2.8 xG, Murata 0.9 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 52% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Folgore 76%, draw 15%, Murata 9%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Folgore 3–0 Murata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Folgore76%fair 1.32 · @1.12
Draw15%fair 6.65 · @9.00
Murata9%fair 11.17 · @12.00
3.67Expected goals
2.77Folgore xG
0.90Murata xG
52%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
3–09%
2–19%
3–18%
1–07%
1–16%
From our goals model: Folgore 2.8 – 0.9 Murata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Folgore to win✓
76%
1.32
1.12
Double chance
Folgore or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
Folgore (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Folgore -1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
–
First team to score
Folgore to score first✓
74%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Folgore ahead at half-time✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Folgore / FT Folgore✓
53%
1.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.39
–
Recent results
Folgore – last 6
LWDDDD
5 May
vs Domagnano
1–3
L
19 Apr
vs San Marino Academy
3–0
W
8 Apr
vs Cosmos
0–0
D
22 Mar
@ Tre Penne
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs San Giovanni
2–2
D
8 Mar
vs La Fiorita
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Murata – last 5
LLLLL
26 Apr
@ Juvenes Dogana
2–5
L
8 Apr
vs Tre Fiori
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Tre Penne
0–4
L
1 Mar
vs Cosmos
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ Domagnano
0–5
L
0.4Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Folgore and Murata.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Folgore vs Murata?
On our numbers Folgore have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Murata 9%.
How many goals will there be in Folgore vs Murata?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Folgore vs Murata?
Our predicted score is Folgore 3–0 Murata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Folgore vs Murata?
Folgore vs Murata (Campionato) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
