Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.64
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7% · fair 13.52
Pennarossa vs Murata: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Murata travel to face Pennarossa on Sunday 6 September in the Campionato – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Pennarossa are 13th, lower half, on 5 points after 8 matches; Murata are 14th (in the drop zone) with 4. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Pennarossa, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Tre Fiori, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Murata, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Folgore, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Pennarossa, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.0 for Murata.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pennarossa 3.1 xG, Murata 1.5 xG – a total near 4.7. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pennarossa 66%, draw 22%, Murata 12%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.34, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pennarossa 3–1 Murata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pennarossa66%fair 1.52 · @1.30
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @5.00
Murata12%fair 8.08 · @7.00
4.66Expected goals
3.13Pennarossa xG
1.53Murata xG
61%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–17%
2–17%
4–16%
3–26%
2–25%
3–05%
From our goals model: Pennarossa 3.1 – 1.5 Murata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pennarossa to win✗
66%
1.52
1.30
Double chance
Pennarossa or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
–
Draw no bet
Pennarossa (draw no bet)✗
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Pennarossa -1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.44 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
–
First team to score
Pennarossa to score first
66%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Pennarossa ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pennarossa / FT Pennarossa✗
48%
2.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
7%
13.52
–
Recent results
Pennarossa – last 6
LLDWDL
30 Aug
@ Tre Fiori
2–5
L
29 Apr
@ Cosmos
0–3
L
26 Apr
@ Tre Fiori
1–1
D
7 Apr
@ Cailungo
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ San Marino Academy
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Folgore
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Murata – last 6
LLLLLL
28 Aug
@ Folgore
0–5
L
26 Apr
@ Juvenes Dogana
2–5
L
8 Apr
vs Tre Fiori
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Tre Penne
0–4
L
1 Mar
vs Cosmos
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ Domagnano
0–5
L
0.3Scored / game
4.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pennarossa and Murata.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Pennarossa vs Murata?
On our numbers Pennarossa have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Murata 12%.
How many goals will there be in Pennarossa vs Murata?
We expect about 4.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pennarossa vs Murata?
Our predicted score is Pennarossa 3–1 Murata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.7 goals in total.
When is Pennarossa vs Murata?
Pennarossa vs Murata (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
