Murata 21%Draw 19%San Giovanni 61%Expected goals 1.42 – 2.48
67%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultSan Giovanni to win ✓61% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.60
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.33
Murata vs San Giovanni: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 12 September the Campionato brings Murata against San Giovanni. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Murata are 14th, in the drop zone, on 4 points after 8 matches; San Giovanni are 10th (lower half) with 8.
Current form
Murata, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Virtus, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.5 conceded per game.
San Giovanni, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cosmos, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Murata 1.4 xG, San Giovanni 2.5 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 57% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Murata 21%, draw 19%, San Giovanni 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.50, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Murata 1–2 San Giovanni. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Murata21%fair 4.80 · @3.90
Draw19%fair 5.37 · @3.90
San Giovanni61%fair 1.65 · @1.67
3.90Expected goals
1.42Murata xG
2.48San Giovanni xG
57%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–37%
1–17%
2–26%
0–26%
2–35%
From our goals model: Murata 1.4 – 2.5 San Giovanni expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Giovanni to win✓
61%
1.65
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
–
Draw no bet
San Giovanni (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
San Giovanni -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.60 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
First team to score
San Giovanni to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
San Giovanni ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Giovanni / FT San Giovanni✓
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.33
–
Recent results
Murata – last 6
LWLLLL
9 Sep
vs Virtus
0–3
L
6 Sep
@ Pennarossa
4–1
W
28 Aug
@ Folgore
0–5
L
26 Apr
@ Juvenes Dogana
2–5
L
8 Apr
vs Tre Fiori
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Tre Penne
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
San Giovanni – last 6
LLLLLD
8 Sep
vs Cosmos
0–1
L
4 Sep
@ Domagnano
0–4
L
29 Aug
vs Tre Penne
2–3
L
26 Apr
@ Tre Penne
0–4
L
7 Apr
@ La Fiorita
0–3
L
15 Mar
@ Folgore
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Murata and San Giovanni.
What is the prediction for Murata vs San Giovanni?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Murata vs San Giovanni?
On our numbers Murata have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 19% and San Giovanni 61%.
How many goals will there be in Murata vs San Giovanni?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Murata vs San Giovanni?
Our predicted score is Murata 1–2 San Giovanni, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Murata vs San Giovanni?
Murata vs San Giovanni (Campionato) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
