Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.05 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCosmos to win ✓57% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Cosmos vs Pennarossa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 13 September the Campionato brings Cosmos against Pennarossa. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Cosmos are 5th, upper half, on 16 points after 8 matches; Pennarossa are 13th (lower half) with 5.
Current form
Cosmos, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over San Giovanni, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Pennarossa, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Cailungo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cosmos, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Pennarossa.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended Cosmos 3–0 Pennarossa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cosmos 2.0 xG, Pennarossa 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cosmos 57%, draw 20%, Pennarossa 23%.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cosmos to win (57%, odds 1.83 – longer than our fair 1.76, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cosmos 2–1 Pennarossa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cosmos57%fair 1.76 · @1.83
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.40
Pennarossa23%fair 4.34 · @3.70
3.26Expected goals
2.04Cosmos xG
1.22Pennarossa xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Cosmos 2.0 – 1.2 Pennarossa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Cosmos to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Cosmos vs Pennarossa?
On our numbers Cosmos have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Pennarossa 23%.
How many goals will there be in Cosmos vs Pennarossa?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cosmos vs Pennarossa?
Our predicted score is Cosmos 2–1 Pennarossa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Cosmos vs Pennarossa?
Cosmos vs Pennarossa (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
