Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultFiorentino to win ✗60% · @1.53
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61% · @1.70
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.39
Pennarossa vs Fiorentino: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fiorentino travel to face Pennarossa on Saturday 19 September in the Campionato – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Pennarossa are 13th, lower half, on 5 points after 8 matches; Fiorentino are 8th (upper half) with 9.
Current form
Pennarossa, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to Cosmos, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.
Fiorentino, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with La Fiorita, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Fiorentino, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Pennarossa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pennarossa 1.2 xG, Fiorentino 2.2 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pennarossa 21%, draw 18%, Fiorentino 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pennarossa 1–2 Fiorentino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pennarossa21%fair 4.73 · @4.75
Draw18%fair 5.45 · @4.00
Fiorentino60%fair 1.65 · @1.53
3.45Expected goals
1.23Pennarossa xG
2.22Fiorentino xG
55%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Pennarossa 1.2 – 2.2 Fiorentino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fiorentino to win✗
60%
1.65
1.53
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
Fiorentino (draw no bet)✗
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Pennarossa +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
First team to score
Fiorentino to score first
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Fiorentino ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fiorentino / FT Fiorentino✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.39
–
Recent results
Pennarossa – last 6
LWLLLD
13 Sep
@ Cosmos
1–6
L
9 Sep
vs Cailungo
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Murata
1–4
L
30 Aug
@ Tre Fiori
2–5
L
29 Apr
@ Cosmos
0–3
L
26 Apr
@ Tre Fiori
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Fiorentino – last 6
DLLWWW
11 Sep
vs La Fiorita
1–1
D
8 Sep
vs Tre Fiori
0–1
L
4 Sep
vs Virtus
0–1
L
28 Aug
@ San Marino Academy
2–0
W
5 May
vs La Fiorita
3–2
W
7 Apr
@ San Marino Academy
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pennarossa and Fiorentino.
What is the prediction for Pennarossa vs Fiorentino?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Pennarossa vs Fiorentino?
On our numbers Pennarossa have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Fiorentino 60%.
How many goals will there be in Pennarossa vs Fiorentino?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pennarossa vs Fiorentino?
Our predicted score is Pennarossa 1–2 Fiorentino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Pennarossa vs Fiorentino?
Pennarossa vs Fiorentino (Campionato) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
