Value bet: Draw @ 3.10 – our chance 53% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +64%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗53% · @3.10
Double chanceBắc Ninh or draw ✗78% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.83
Song Lam Nghe An vs Bắc Ninh: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 6 September: Song Lam Nghe An v Bắc Ninh in the V.League 1, played at Vinh Stadium.
Current form
Song Lam Nghe An, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Pho Hien, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Bắc Ninh, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Hung Yen, at home. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Bắc Ninh, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Song Lam Nghe An.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Song Lam Nghe An 1.2 xG, Bắc Ninh 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Song Lam Nghe An 22%, draw 53%, Bắc Ninh 25%.
Lower-risk option: Bắc Ninh or draw (78%) at 1.36.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bắc Ninh or draw (78%, odds 1.36 – longer than our fair 1.29, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Song Lam Nghe An 1–1 Bắc Ninh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Song Lam Nghe An22%fair 4.49 · @2.70
Draw53%fair 1.89 · @3.10
Bắc Ninh25%fair 4.01 · @2.45
2.52Expected goals
1.23Song Lam Nghe An xG
1.29Bắc Ninh xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Song Lam Nghe An 1.2 – 1.3 Bắc Ninh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
53%
1.89
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Bắc Ninh or draw✗
78%
1.29
1.36 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.83
Draw no bet
Bắc Ninh (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Song Lam Nghe An +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
Bắc Ninh to score first✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bắc Ninh / FT Bắc Ninh✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.83
–
Recent results
Song Lam Nghe An – last 6
LLWLLL
7 Jun
vs Pho Hien
1–3
L
31 May
@ Nam Dinh
0–3
L
24 May
@ Binh Duong
1–0
W
10 May
@ Ho Chi Minh
1–3
L
3 May
vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ Công An Nhân Dân
2–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bắc Ninh – last 6
WDLWWW
26 Aug
vs Hung Yen
2–1
W
12 Jun
@ Pho Hien
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs PVF-CAND
1–3
L
30 May
@ Binh Dinh
4–2
W
24 May
vs Hồ Chí Minh II
8–0
W
8 May
vs Bình Phước
2–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Song Lam Nghe An and Bắc Ninh.
What is the prediction for Song Lam Nghe An vs Bắc Ninh?
Our pick is Bắc Ninh or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Song Lam Nghe An vs Bắc Ninh?
On our numbers Song Lam Nghe An have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 53% and Bắc Ninh 25%.
How many goals will there be in Song Lam Nghe An vs Bắc Ninh?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Song Lam Nghe An vs Bắc Ninh?
Our predicted score is Song Lam Nghe An 1–1 Bắc Ninh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Song Lam Nghe An vs Bắc Ninh?
Song Lam Nghe An vs Bắc Ninh (V.League 1) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Vinh Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
