Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals62% · @1.65
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–114% · fair 7.20
Mpam vs Iraklis Therm.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Saturday 14 November: Mpam v Iraklis Therm. in the Gamma Ethniki Group 2.
Current form
Mpam, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Finikas Polichnis, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Iraklis Therm., last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Poseidon Nea Michaniona, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 6 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Iraklis Therm., collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Mpam.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mpam 1.0 xG, Iraklis Therm. 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mpam 34%, draw 30%, Iraklis Therm. 36%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.83.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Under 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mpam 0–1 Iraklis Therm.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mpam34%fair 2.90 · @2.60
Draw30%fair 3.38 · @3.10
Iraklis Therm.36%fair 2.78 · @2.45
2.04Expected goals
0.97Mpam xG
1.06Iraklis Therm. xG
49%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–114%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Mpam 1.0 – 1.1 Iraklis Therm. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mpam
Iraklis Therm.
Attack vs Gamma Ethniki Group 2 average
+23%
-34%
Goals conceded vs average
+10%
-57%
Our expected goals here
0.74
0.89
Our own ratings from every Gamma Ethniki Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Iraklis Therm. to win
36%
2.78
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win
70%
1.42
1.32
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
51%
1.97
1.83
Draw no bet
Iraklis Therm. (draw no bet)
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Mpam +0.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
62%
1.61
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Iraklis Therm. to score first
45%
2.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
21%
4.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
14%
7.20
–
Recent results
Mpam – last 6
DLDDWW
7 Nov
@ Finikas Polichnis
1–1
D
1 Nov
@ Poseidon Nea Michaniona
0–1
L
24 Oct
vs Makedonikos Neapolis
2–2
D
18 Oct
@ Kilkisiakos
4–4
D
11 Oct
vs Akrites Sykeon
3–1
W
3 Oct
vs PAO Kristoni
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Iraklis Therm. – last 6
WDDWDW
8 Nov
vs Poseidon Nea Michaniona
1–0
W
1 Nov
@ Makedonikos Neapolis
0–0
D
25 Oct
vs Kilkisiakos
0–0
D
18 Oct
vs Akrites Sykeon
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ PAO Kristoni
0–0
D
3 Oct
vs Panedessaikos
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mpam and Iraklis Therm..
What is the prediction for Mpam vs Iraklis Therm.?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Mpam vs Iraklis Therm.?
On our numbers Mpam have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Iraklis Therm. 36%.
How many goals will there be in Mpam vs Iraklis Therm.?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mpam vs Iraklis Therm.?
Our predicted score is Mpam 0–1 Iraklis Therm., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Mpam vs Iraklis Therm.?
Mpam vs Iraklis Therm. (Gamma Ethniki Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
