Al Ahli Tripoli 5%Draw 89%KMKM 6%Expected goals 1.49 – 1.51
95%
Betarazi pick
KMKM or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.05 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗89% · fair 1.12
Double chanceKMKM or draw ✗95% · fair 1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗6% · fair 15.87
Al Ahli Tripoli vs KMKM: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Al Ahli Tripoli v KMKM in the CAF Confederation Cup, played at Tripoli International Stadium.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Sep 2026) it ended KMKM 0–3 Al Ahli Tripoli.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Ahli Tripoli 1.5 xG, KMKM 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Ahli Tripoli 5%, draw 89%, KMKM 6%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was KMKM or draw (95%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Ahli Tripoli 1–1 KMKM. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Ahli Tripoli5%fair 20.00
Draw89%fair 1.12
KMKM6%fair 16.67
3.00Expected goals
1.49Al Ahli Tripoli xG
1.51KMKM xG
53%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Al Ahli Tripoli 1.5 – 1.5 KMKM expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Al Ahli Tripoli vs KMKM?
Our pick is KMKM or draw with a 95% chance.
Who will win Al Ahli Tripoli vs KMKM?
On our numbers Al Ahli Tripoli have a 5% chance of winning, the draw 89% and KMKM 6%.
How many goals will there be in Al Ahli Tripoli vs KMKM?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Ahli Tripoli vs KMKM?
Our predicted score is Al Ahli Tripoli 1–1 KMKM, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Al Ahli Tripoli vs KMKM?
Al Ahli Tripoli vs KMKM (CAF Confederation Cup) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Tripoli International Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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