Value bet: Ironi Kiryat Shmona to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHapoel Tel Aviv to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.33
Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 16 August the Toto Cup Ligat Al brings Ironi Kiryat Shmona against Hapoel Tel Aviv at Kiryat Shmona Municipal Stadium. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.
Current form
Ironi Kiryat Shmona, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Hapoel Haifa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Hapoel Tel Aviv, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to GKS Katowice, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ironi Kiryat Shmona, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Hapoel Tel Aviv.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1.3 xG, Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ironi Kiryat Shmona 35%, draw 21%, Hapoel Tel Aviv 44%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Ironi Kiryat Shmona to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1–1 Hapoel Tel Aviv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ironi Kiryat Shmona35%fair 2.83 · @3.20
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.45
Hapoel Tel Aviv44%fair 2.30 · @2.00
2.77Expected goals
1.30Ironi Kiryat Shmona xG
1.48Hapoel Tel Aviv xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1.3 – 1.5 Hapoel Tel Aviv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Tel Aviv to win✓
44%
2.30
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.65
Draw no bet
Hapoel Tel Aviv (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Ironi Kiryat Shmona +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Hapoel Tel Aviv to score first✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Tel Aviv / FT Hapoel Tel Aviv✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.33
–
Recent results
Ironi Kiryat Shmona – last 6
WWWWLW
8 Aug
@ Hapoel Haifa
3–1
W
4 Aug
vs Bnei Sakhnin
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Ironi Tiberias
1–0
W
28 Jul
vs Maccabi Haifa
3–0
W
18 May
vs Ashdod
2–3
L
13 May
@ Bnei Sakhnin
4–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hapoel Tel Aviv – last 6
LWDWDD
12 Aug
@ GKS Katowice
1–2
L
6 Aug
vs GKS Katowice
2–0
W
30 Jul
@ Ludogorets
2–2
D
23 Jul
vs Ludogorets
2–0
W
18 Jul
@ Beitar Jerusalem
2–2
D
14 Jul
@ Dukla Banská Bystrica
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ironi Kiryat Shmona and Hapoel Tel Aviv.
What is the prediction for Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
On our numbers Ironi Kiryat Shmona have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hapoel Tel Aviv 44%.
How many goals will there be in Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Our predicted score is Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1–1 Hapoel Tel Aviv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv (Toto Cup Ligat Al) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Kiryat Shmona Municipal Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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