Value bet: Bali United to win @ 1.77 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBali United to win ✓60% · @1.77
Double chanceBali United or draw ✓84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.66
Bali United vs PSS Sleman: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Friday 4 September: Bali United v PSS Sleman in the Liga 1, played at Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium. In the table, Bali United are 3rd, among the top four, on 19 points after 9 matches; PSS Sleman are 16th (in the drop zone) with 5. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bali United, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Persib Bandung, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
PSS Sleman, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over PSIS Semarang, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours PSS Sleman, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Bali United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bali United 1.7 xG, PSS Sleman 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bali United 60%, draw 24%, PSS Sleman 16%.
Lower-risk option: Bali United or draw (84%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Bali United to win @1.77 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bali United 1–0 PSS Sleman. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bali United60%fair 1.67 · @1.77
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.30
PSS Sleman16%fair 6.23 · @4.33
2.42Expected goals
1.68Bali United xG
0.74PSS Sleman xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Bali United 1.7 – 0.7 PSS Sleman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bali United to win✓
60%
1.67
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Bali United or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.70
Draw no bet
Bali United (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Bali United -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Bali United to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bali United / FT Bali United✓
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.66
–
Recent results
Bali United – last 6
LWWLLW
18 Aug
@ Persib Bandung
2–3
L
22 May
@ Dewa United
1–0
W
17 May
vs Bhayangkara FC
4–1
W
11 May
vs Pusamania Borneo
2–3
L
5 May
@ Persepam Madura Utd
0–2
L
27 Apr
vs PSM Makassar
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
PSS Sleman – last 6
WDWWDW
3 May
vs PSIS Semarang
3–0
W
26 Apr
@ Persiba Balikpapan
1–1
D
20 Apr
vs Persiku Kudus
2–1
W
4 Apr
vs Persipal
7–0
W
29 Mar
@ Tornado Pekanbaru
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Persela Lamongan
1–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bali United and PSS Sleman.
What is the prediction for Bali United vs PSS Sleman?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bali United vs PSS Sleman?
On our numbers Bali United have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and PSS Sleman 16%.
How many goals will there be in Bali United vs PSS Sleman?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bali United vs PSS Sleman?
Our predicted score is Bali United 1–0 PSS Sleman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Bali United vs PSS Sleman?
Bali United vs PSS Sleman (Liga 1) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
