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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel v Hapoel Beit Shean: numbers & prediction

Liga Alef · Israel
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 42%Draw 22%Hapoel Beit Shean 36% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.12
55%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.81 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultHapoel Tirat HaCarmel to win ✗42% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.55

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Beit Shean: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel welcome Hapoel Beit Shean for a Liga Alef fixture on Monday 12 October (19:15 WAT). In the table, Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel are 15th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 21 matches; Hapoel Beit Shean are 7th (upper half) with 32. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Hapoel Ironi Karmiel, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Hapoel Beit Shean, last 4: WLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ironi Baka El Garbiya, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Hapoel Beit Shean, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Feb 2026) it ended Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0–1 Hapoel Beit Shean.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 1.2 xG, Hapoel Beit Shean 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 42%, draw 22%, Hapoel Beit Shean 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 1–1 Hapoel Beit Shean. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel42%fair 2.40 · @2.38
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.25
Hapoel Beit Shean36%fair 2.74 · @2.60
2.35Expected goals
1.23Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel xG
1.12Hapoel Beit Shean xG
48%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 1.2 – 1.1 Hapoel Beit Shean expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHapoel Tirat HaCarmel to win ✗42%2.402.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.92–
Draw no betHapoel Tirat HaCarmel (draw no bet) ✗53%1.87–
Asian handicapHapoel Beit Shean +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.811.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79%1.27–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreHapoel Tirat HaCarmel to score first ✗47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel / FT Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel ✗22%4.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.55–

Recent results

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel – last 6

LLWLLD
8 Oct@ Hapoel Ironi Karmiel0–1L
23 Sep@ Ironi Baka El Garbiya1–3L
18 Sep@ Tzeirey Tamra4–1W
9 Sep@ Hapoel Nazareth Illit0–1L
19 Febvs Hapoel Beit Shean0–1L
13 Feb@ Hapoel Ironi Karmiel1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Hapoel Beit Shean – last 4

WLDW
30 Sepvs Ironi Baka El Garbiya2–1W
23 Sep@ Tzeirey Tamra0–1L
26 Febvs Tira0–0D
19 Feb@ Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Feb 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel v Hapoel Beit Shean0–1
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Beit Shean head-to-head page →

Liga Alef table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Maccabi Ahi Nazareth211533+2748
2Tira221336+1942
3Maccabi K. Ata Bialik221084+1438
4Maccabi Neve Sha'anan221066+536
5Hapoel Ironi Karmiel22967+733
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus21966033
7Hapoel Beit Shean22886+132
8Hapoel Migdal HaEmek22877+631
9Ironi Baka El Garbiya22949+331
10Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm22868+430
11Ironi Nesher22859-929
12Tzeirey Tamra227312-1524
13Hapoel Ironi Arraba225611-921
14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed214512-2017
15Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel213315-2612
16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm226511-711

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Beit Shean?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Beit Shean?

On our numbers Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hapoel Beit Shean 36%.

How many goals will there be in Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Beit Shean?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Beit Shean?

Our predicted score is Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 1–1 Hapoel Beit Shean, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Beit Shean?

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Beit Shean (Liga Alef) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.