Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.58
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 19 September the Liga Alef brings Hapoel Umm al-Fahm against Ironi Baka El Garbiya. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm are 16th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 22 matches; Ironi Baka El Garbiya are 9th (lower half) with 31. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ironi Baka El Garbiya, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ironi Nesher, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 1.4 xG, Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 48%, draw 22%, Ironi Baka El Garbiya 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (51%, odds 2.00). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 1–1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm48%fair 2.09 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.30
Ironi Baka El Garbiya30%fair 3.28 · @2.90
2.52Expected goals
1.44Hapoel Umm al-Fahm xG
1.07Ironi Baka El Garbiya xG
47%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 1.4 – 1.1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm to win✗
48%
2.09
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm (draw no bet)
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Ironi Baka El Garbiya +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Umm al-Fahm / FT Hapoel Umm al-Fahm✗
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.58
–
Recent results
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm – last 2
WD
9 Sep
@ Tzeirey Tamra
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Ironi Baka El Garbiya – last 5
LDDLL
9 Sep
vs Ironi Nesher
0–2
L
5 Sep
@ Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
0–0
D
27 Feb
@ Ironi Nesher
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
0–3
L
13 Feb
@ Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Umm al-Fahm and Ironi Baka El Garbiya.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
On our numbers Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ironi Baka El Garbiya 30%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 1–1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya (Liga Alef) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tzeirey Tira
Dimona