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Ironi Nesher v Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm: numbers & prediction

Liga Alef · Israel
5–1
FT
Ironi Nesher 61%Draw 21%Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 18% Expected goals 1.88 – 0.91
61%
Betarazi pick

Ironi Nesher to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultIroni Nesher to win ✓61% · @1.80
Double chanceIroni Nesher or draw ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 14.67

Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ironi Nesher welcome Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm for a Liga Alef fixture on Friday 18 September (09:50 WAT). In the table, Ironi Nesher are 11th, lower half, on 29 points after 22 matches; Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm are 10th (lower half) with 30. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Ironi Nesher, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ironi Baka El Garbiya, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Maccabi Neve Sha'anan, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ironi Nesher 1.9 xG, Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ironi Nesher 61%, draw 21%, Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 18%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ironi Nesher to win (61%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ironi Nesher 1–0 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ironi Nesher61%fair 1.64 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm18%fair 5.46 · @3.60
2.79Expected goals
1.88Ironi Nesher xG
0.91Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm xG
49%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Ironi Nesher 1.9 – 0.9 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIroni Nesher to win ✓61%1.641.80 ▲
Double chanceIroni Nesher or draw ✓82%1.221.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.97–
Draw no betIroni Nesher (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapIroni Nesher -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.871.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.44–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗85%1.18–
First team to scoreIroni Nesher to score first ✓63%1.58–
Half-time resultIroni Nesher ahead at half-time ✓43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ironi Nesher / FT Ironi Nesher ✓38%2.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7%14.67–

Recent results

Ironi Nesher – last 5

WWDLW
9 Sep@ Ironi Baka El Garbiya2–0W
4 Sepvs Tzeirey Tamra6–1W
27 Febvs Ironi Baka El Garbiya0–0D
19 Feb@ Hapoel Migdal HaEmek0–3L
13 Febvs Hapoel Ironi Arraba3–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm – last 5

DDLWW
10 Sepvs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan1–1D
6 Sep@ Hapoel Bnei Musmus0–0D
27 Febvs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan1–2L
20 Feb@ Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed2–1W
13 Febvs Ironi Baka El Garbiya1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ironi Nesher and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm.

Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm head-to-head page →

Liga Alef table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Maccabi Ahi Nazareth211533+2748
2Tira221336+1942
3Maccabi K. Ata Bialik221084+1438
4Maccabi Neve Sha'anan221066+536
5Hapoel Ironi Karmiel22967+733
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus21966033
7Hapoel Beit Shean22886+132
8Hapoel Migdal HaEmek22877+631
9Ironi Baka El Garbiya22949+331
10Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm22868+430
11Ironi Nesher22859-929
12Tzeirey Tamra227312-1524
13Hapoel Ironi Arraba225611-921
14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed214512-2017
15Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel213315-2612
16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm226511-711

More Liga Alef predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?

Our pick is Ironi Nesher to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?

On our numbers Ironi Nesher have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 18%.

How many goals will there be in Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?

Our predicted score is Ironi Nesher 1–0 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?

Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm (Liga Alef) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 09:50 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.