Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.94
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel travel to face Hapoel Umm al-Fahm on Thursday 1 October in the Liga Alef – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm are 16th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 22 matches; Hapoel Ironi Karmiel are 5th (upper half) with 33. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm, last 3: DWD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Ironi Baka El Garbiya, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ironi Nesher, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 1.4 xG, Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 51% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 33%, draw 21%, Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 1–2 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm33%fair 3.07 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.40
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel46%fair 2.17 · @2.10
3.11Expected goals
1.40Hapoel Umm al-Fahm xG
1.71Hapoel Ironi Karmiel xG
51%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 1.4 – 1.7 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel to win✗
46%
2.17
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
–
Draw no bet
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel (draw no bet)
59%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel to score first✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Ironi Karmiel / FT Hapoel Ironi Karmiel✗
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.94
–
Recent results
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm – last 3
DWD
19 Sep
vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya
3–3
D
9 Sep
@ Tzeirey Tamra
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel – last 6
DDWWLD
23 Sep
vs Ironi Nesher
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
1–1
D
10 Sep
vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus
3–0
W
4 Sep
@ Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
3–1
W
27 Feb
vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba
1–2
L
19 Feb
@ Tira
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Umm al-Fahm and Hapoel Ironi Karmiel.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?
On our numbers Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 46%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 1–2 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel (Liga Alef) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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