Value bet: Tira to win @ 2.81 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTira to win ✗40% · @2.81
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.87
Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:40 WAT, Friday 6 November: Tira v Hapoel Nazareth Illit in the Liga Alef.
Current form
Tira, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Hapoel Beit Shean, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Beitar Nahariya, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tira 1.4 xG, Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tira 40%, draw 22%, Hapoel Nazareth Illit 38%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.66.
Price worth noting: Tira to win @2.81 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tira 1–1 Hapoel Nazareth Illit. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tira40%fair 2.49 · @2.81
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.28
Hapoel Nazareth Illit38%fair 2.61 · @2.17
2.75Expected goals
1.39Tira xG
1.35Hapoel Nazareth Illit xG
62%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: Tira 1.4 – 1.4 Hapoel Nazareth Illit expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tira to win✗
40%
2.49
2.81 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.23
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.63
1.66
Draw no bet
Tira (draw no bet)
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Hapoel Nazareth Illit +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Tira to score first✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tira / FT Tira✗
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.87
–
Recent results
Tira – last 6
DLWWWW
30 Oct
@ Hapoel Beit Shean
0–0
D
26 Oct
@ Hapoel Acre
0–5
L
22 Oct
vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
2–0
W
19 Oct
@ Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1–0
W
12 Oct
vs Maccabi Ma'alot Tarshiha
3–2
W
8 Oct
vs Ironi Nesher
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hapoel Nazareth Illit – last 6
WLDDWW
31 Oct
vs Beitar Nahariya
2–0
W
28 Oct
vs Maccabi Yavne
1–2
L
23 Oct
@ Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
3–3
D
16 Oct
@ Hapoel Beit Shean
1–1
D
12 Oct
vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus
4–0
W
8 Oct
@ Ironi Baka El Garbiya
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tira and Hapoel Nazareth Illit.
What is the prediction for Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
On our numbers Tira have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hapoel Nazareth Illit 38%.
How many goals will there be in Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Our predicted score is Tira 1–1 Hapoel Nazareth Illit, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit (Liga Alef) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 11:40 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.