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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tira v Hapoel Nazareth Illit: numbers & prediction

Liga Alef · Israel

Tira

DLWWW
1–1
FT
Tira 40%Draw 22%Hapoel Nazareth Illit 38% Expected goals 1.39 – 1.35
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.23Odds
1

Value bet: Tira to win @ 2.81 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultTira to win ✗40% · @2.81
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.87

Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:40 WAT, Friday 6 November: Tira v Hapoel Nazareth Illit in the Liga Alef.

Current form

Tira, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Hapoel Beit Shean, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Hapoel Nazareth Illit, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Beitar Nahariya, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tira 1.4 xG, Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tira 40%, draw 22%, Hapoel Nazareth Illit 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.66.
  • Price worth noting: Tira to win @2.81 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tira 1–1 Hapoel Nazareth Illit. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tira40%fair 2.49 · @2.81
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.28
Hapoel Nazareth Illit38%fair 2.61 · @2.17
2.75Expected goals
1.39Tira xG
1.35Hapoel Nazareth Illit xG
62%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%

From our goals model: Tira 1.4 – 1.4 Hapoel Nazareth Illit expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTira to win ✗40%2.492.81 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.23
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.631.66
Draw no betTira (draw no bet)51%1.95–
Asian handicapHapoel Nazareth Illit +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.23
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.421.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreTira to score first ✓47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tira / FT Tira ✗22%4.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.87–

Recent results

Tira – last 6

DLWWWW
30 Oct@ Hapoel Beit Shean0–0D
26 Oct@ Hapoel Acre0–5L
22 Octvs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel2–0W
19 Oct@ Hapoel Umm al-Fahm1–0W
12 Octvs Maccabi Ma'alot Tarshiha3–2W
8 Octvs Ironi Nesher2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Hapoel Nazareth Illit – last 6

WLDDWW
31 Octvs Beitar Nahariya2–0W
28 Octvs Maccabi Yavne1–2L
23 Oct@ Hapoel Ironi Karmiel3–3D
16 Oct@ Hapoel Beit Shean1–1D
12 Octvs Hapoel Bnei Musmus4–0W
8 Oct@ Ironi Baka El Garbiya2–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tira and Hapoel Nazareth Illit.

Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit head-to-head page →

Liga Alef table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Maccabi Ahi Nazareth211533+2748
2Tira221336+1942
3Maccabi K. Ata Bialik221084+1438
4Maccabi Neve Sha'anan221066+536
5Hapoel Ironi Karmiel22967+733
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus21966033
7Hapoel Beit Shean22886+132
8Hapoel Migdal HaEmek22877+631
9Ironi Baka El Garbiya22949+331
10Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm22868+430
11Ironi Nesher22859-929
12Tzeirey Tamra227312-1524
13Hapoel Ironi Arraba225611-921
14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed214512-2017
15Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel213315-2612
16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm226511-711

More Liga Alef predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.

Who will win Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?

On our numbers Tira have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hapoel Nazareth Illit 38%.

How many goals will there be in Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?

Our predicted score is Tira 1–1 Hapoel Nazareth Illit, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?

Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit (Liga Alef) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 11:40 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.