Al Nasar 56%Draw 23%Al Tadhamon 21%Expected goals 2.33 – 1.42
79%
Betarazi pick
Al Nasar or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.67 – our chance 66% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAl Nasar to win ✓56% · @1.80
Double chanceAl Nasar or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.03
Al Nasar vs Al Tadhamon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 18 October the Premier League brings Al Nasar against Al Tadhamon at Ali Al-Salem Al-Sabah Stadium. Kick-off: 17:55 WAT. In the table, Al Nasar are 5th, upper half, on 13 points after 8 matches; Al Tadhamon are 10th (in the drop zone) with 6.
Current form
Al Nasar, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 1–7 defeat to Al Kuwait, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Al Tadhamon, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Al Qadsia, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Al Nasar, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for Al Tadhamon.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Al Tadhamon 1–1 Al Nasar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Nasar 2.3 xG, Al Tadhamon 1.4 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Nasar 56%, draw 23%, Al Tadhamon 21%.
Lower-risk option: Al Nasar or draw (79%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.67 – the bookmaker implies 60%, our ratings say 66%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al Nasar or draw (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Nasar 2–1 Al Tadhamon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Nasar56%fair 1.79 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.10
Al Tadhamon21%fair 4.80 · @3.80
3.75Expected goals
2.33Al Nasar xG
1.42Al Tadhamon xG
66%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–26%
2–06%
1–26%
From our goals model: Al Nasar 2.3 – 1.4 Al Tadhamon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Al Nasar vs Al Tadhamon?
Our pick is Al Nasar or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Al Nasar vs Al Tadhamon?
On our numbers Al Nasar have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Al Tadhamon 21%.
How many goals will there be in Al Nasar vs Al Tadhamon?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Nasar vs Al Tadhamon?
Our predicted score is Al Nasar 2–1 Al Tadhamon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Al Nasar vs Al Tadhamon?
Al Nasar vs Al Tadhamon (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 17:55 (West Africa Time) at Ali Al-Salem Al-Sabah Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
