Al Qadsia 59%Draw 26%Al Arabi 15%Expected goals 1.97 – 0.94
85%
Betarazi pick
Al Qadsia or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Al Qadsia to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAl Qadsia to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceAl Qadsia or draw ✗85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Al Qadsia vs Al Arabi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Sunday 1 November: Al Qadsia v Al Arabi in the Premier League, played at Mohammed Al Hamad Stadium. In the table, Al Qadsia are 2nd, among the top four, on 15 points after 7 matches; Al Arabi are 6th (upper half) with 12. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Al Qadsia, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Al Shabab, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Al Arabi, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Al Fahaheel, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Al Qadsia, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.8 for Al Arabi.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Jun 2026) it ended Al Arabi 2–0 Al Qadsia. The last 2 head-to-heads: Al Qadsia 0 wins, Al Arabi 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Qadsia 2.0 xG, Al Arabi 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 52% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Qadsia 59%, draw 26%, Al Arabi 15%.
Lower-risk option: Al Qadsia or draw (85%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Al Qadsia to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al Qadsia or draw (85%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Qadsia 1–0 Al Arabi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Qadsia59%fair 1.69 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.30
Al Arabi15%fair 6.69 · @3.30
2.91Expected goals
1.97Al Qadsia xG
0.94Al Arabi xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Al Qadsia 2.0 – 0.9 Al Arabi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Al Qadsia or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Al Qadsia vs Al Arabi?
On our numbers Al Qadsia have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Al Arabi 15%.
How many goals will there be in Al Qadsia vs Al Arabi?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Qadsia vs Al Arabi?
Our predicted score is Al Qadsia 1–0 Al Arabi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Al Qadsia vs Al Arabi?
Al Qadsia vs Al Arabi (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Mohammed Al Hamad Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
