Al Arabi 61%Draw 20%Al Nasar 19%Expected goals 2.20 – 1.15
82%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAl Arabi to win ✓61% · @1.50
Double chanceAl Arabi or draw ✓81% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.25
Al Arabi vs Al Nasar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 7 November the Premier League brings Al Arabi against Al Nasar at Sabah Al Salem Stadium. Kick-off: 15:25 WAT. In the table, Al Arabi are 6th, upper half, on 12 points after 7 matches; Al Nasar are 5th (upper half) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Al Arabi, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Al Qadsia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Al Nasar, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Al Shabab, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Al Nasar, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Al Arabi.
Head to head
When they last met (30 May 2026) it ended Al Arabi 2–1 Al Nasar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Arabi 2.2 xG, Al Nasar 1.2 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Arabi 61%, draw 20%, Al Nasar 19%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Arabi 2–1 Al Nasar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Arabi61%fair 1.64 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.90
Al Nasar19%fair 5.35 · @5.25
3.35Expected goals
2.20Al Arabi xG
1.15Al Nasar xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Al Arabi 2.2 – 1.2 Al Nasar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Al Arabi vs Al Nasar?
On our numbers Al Arabi have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Al Nasar 19%.
How many goals will there be in Al Arabi vs Al Nasar?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Arabi vs Al Nasar?
Our predicted score is Al Arabi 2–1 Al Nasar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Al Arabi vs Al Nasar?
Al Arabi vs Al Nasar (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:25 (West Africa Time) at Sabah Al Salem Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.