Forge 67%Draw 22%Supra du Quebec 11%Expected goals 2.41 – 0.97
67%
Betarazi pick
Forge to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultForge to win ✓67% · @1.53
Double chanceForge or draw ✓89% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.42
Forge vs Supra du Quebec: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Supra du Quebec travel to face Forge on Wednesday 16 September in the Canadian Championship, with Tim Hortons Field the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT.
Current form
Forge, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Atlético Ottawa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Supra du Quebec, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to HFX Wanderers FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Forge, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Supra du Quebec.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Sep 2026) it ended Supra du Quebec 1–1 Forge. The last 5 head-to-heads: Forge 3 wins, Supra du Quebec 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.4 goals and saw GG land 3 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Forge 2.4 xG, Supra du Quebec 1.0 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Forge 67%, draw 22%, Supra du Quebec 11%.
Lower-risk option: Forge or draw (89%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Forge to win (67%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Forge 2–0 Supra du Quebec. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Forge67%fair 1.49 · @1.53
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.75
Supra du Quebec11%fair 8.82 · @5.00
3.38Expected goals
2.41Forge xG
0.97Supra du Quebec xG
61%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–08%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%
From our goals model: Forge 2.4 – 1.0 Supra du Quebec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Forge vs Supra du Quebec?
Our pick is Forge to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Forge vs Supra du Quebec?
On our numbers Forge have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Supra du Quebec 11%.
How many goals will there be in Forge vs Supra du Quebec?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Forge vs Supra du Quebec?
Our predicted score is Forge 2–0 Supra du Quebec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Forge vs Supra du Quebec?
Forge vs Supra du Quebec (Canadian Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Tim Hortons Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
