Value bet: Persepam Madura Utd to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPersik Kediri to win ✓40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.77
Persik Kediri vs Persepam Madura Utd: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Persepam Madura Utd travel to face Persik Kediri on Friday 9 October in the Liga 1, with Brawijaya Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 09:30 WAT. In the table, Persik Kediri are 13th, lower half, on 10 points after 9 matches; Persepam Madura Utd are 4th (among the top four) with 19.
Current form
Persik Kediri, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Arema FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Persepam Madura Utd, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over PSIM Yogyakarta, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Persepam Madura Utd, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Persik Kediri.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Apr 2026) it ended Persepam Madura Utd 2–1 Persik Kediri.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Persik Kediri 1.2 xG, Persepam Madura Utd 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Persik Kediri 40%, draw 22%, Persepam Madura Utd 38%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Persepam Madura Utd to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Persik Kediri 1–1 Persepam Madura Utd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Persik Kediri40%fair 2.48 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.30
Persepam Madura Utd38%fair 2.62 · @2.90
2.33Expected goals
1.19Persik Kediri xG
1.14Persepam Madura Utd xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Persik Kediri 1.2 – 1.1 Persepam Madura Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Persik Kediri vs Persepam Madura Utd?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Persik Kediri vs Persepam Madura Utd?
On our numbers Persik Kediri have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Persepam Madura Utd 38%.
How many goals will there be in Persik Kediri vs Persepam Madura Utd?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persik Kediri vs Persepam Madura Utd?
Our predicted score is Persik Kediri 1–1 Persepam Madura Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Persik Kediri vs Persepam Madura Utd?
Persik Kediri vs Persepam Madura Utd (Liga 1) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Brawijaya Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
