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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

PSS Sleman v PSM Makassar: numbers & prediction

Liga 1 · Indonesia · Maguwoharjo Stadium
3–0
FT
PSS Sleman 40%Draw 23%PSM Makassar 37% Expected goals 2.04 – 1.96
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.70Odds
2

Value bet: PSM Makassar to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultPSS Sleman to win ✓40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.39

PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

PSS Sleman welcome PSM Makassar to Maguwoharjo Stadium for a Liga 1 fixture on Sunday 11 October (09:30 WAT). In the table, PSS Sleman are 16th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 9 matches; PSM Makassar are 12th (lower half) with 10.

Current form

PSS Sleman, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dewa United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

PSM Makassar, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Persita, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours PSS Sleman, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for PSM Makassar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give PSS Sleman 2.0 xG, PSM Makassar 2.0 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – PSS Sleman 40%, draw 23%, PSM Makassar 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: PSM Makassar to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: PSS Sleman 2–1 PSM Makassar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

PSS Sleman40%fair 2.49 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
PSM Makassar37%fair 2.70 · @3.00
4.00Expected goals
2.04PSS Sleman xG
1.96PSM Makassar xG
64%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–17%
1–17%
2–27%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%

From our goals model: PSS Sleman 2.0 – 2.0 PSM Makassar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPSS Sleman to win ✓40%2.492.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.551.70 ▲
Draw no betPSS Sleman (draw no bet) ✓52%1.92–
Asian handicapPSM Makassar +1 (Asian handicap) ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗57%1.77–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
First team to scorePSS Sleman to score first ✓50%2.00–
Half-time resultPSS Sleman ahead at half-time ✓34%2.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT PSS Sleman / FT PSS Sleman ✓25%3.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%13.39–

Recent results

PSS Sleman – last 6

LLLWDW
20 Sep@ Dewa United1–2L
12 Sepvs Persepam Madura Utd1–3L
4 Sep@ Bali United1–2L
3 Mayvs PSIS Semarang3–0W
26 Apr@ Persiba Balikpapan1–1D
20 Aprvs Persiku Kudus2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

PSM Makassar – last 6

DDLLLL
19 Sepvs Persita2–2D
13 Sepvs Arema FC3–3D
6 Sep@ Persib Bandung1–3L
23 May@ Persepam Madura Utd0–2L
17 Mayvs Persib Bandung1–2L
9 May@ Arema FC0–3L
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between PSS Sleman and PSM Makassar.

PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar head-to-head page →

Liga 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Persija9702+1121
2Dewa United9621+420
3Bali United9612+1719
4Persepam Madura Utd9612+619
5Persib Bandung9513+616
6Persita8431+615
7Java United9432+313
8Persebaya Surabaya9342+213
9Bhayangkara FC9261+112
10Garudayaksa9324-411
11Pusamania Borneo8314-210
12PSM Makassar9243-410
13Persik Kediri9315-510
14Arema FC9234-39
15Isenmulang Kalteng9225-126
16PSS Sleman9126-55
17PSIM Yogyakarta9126-85
18Persijap9027-132

More Liga 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar?

On our numbers PSS Sleman have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and PSM Makassar 37%.

How many goals will there be in PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar?

Our predicted score is PSS Sleman 2–1 PSM Makassar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar?

PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar (Liga 1) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Maguwoharjo Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.