Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
2
Value bet: PSM Makassar to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPSS Sleman to win ✓40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.39
PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
PSS Sleman welcome PSM Makassar to Maguwoharjo Stadium for a Liga 1 fixture on Sunday 11 October (09:30 WAT). In the table, PSS Sleman are 16th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 9 matches; PSM Makassar are 12th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
PSS Sleman, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dewa United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
PSM Makassar, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Persita, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours PSS Sleman, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for PSM Makassar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give PSS Sleman 2.0 xG, PSM Makassar 2.0 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – PSS Sleman 40%, draw 23%, PSM Makassar 37%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: PSM Makassar to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: PSS Sleman 2–1 PSM Makassar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
PSS Sleman40%fair 2.49 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
PSM Makassar37%fair 2.70 · @3.00
4.00Expected goals
2.04PSS Sleman xG
1.96PSM Makassar xG
64%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–17%
1–17%
2–27%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: PSS Sleman 2.0 – 2.0 PSM Makassar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PSS Sleman to win✓
40%
2.49
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.55
1.70 ▲
Draw no bet
PSS Sleman (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
PSM Makassar +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
PSS Sleman to score first✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
PSS Sleman ahead at half-time✓
34%
2.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PSS Sleman / FT PSS Sleman✓
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.39
–
Recent results
PSS Sleman – last 6
LLLWDW
20 Sep
@ Dewa United
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Persepam Madura Utd
1–3
L
4 Sep
@ Bali United
1–2
L
3 May
vs PSIS Semarang
3–0
W
26 Apr
@ Persiba Balikpapan
1–1
D
20 Apr
vs Persiku Kudus
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
PSM Makassar – last 6
DDLLLL
19 Sep
vs Persita
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Arema FC
3–3
D
6 Sep
@ Persib Bandung
1–3
L
23 May
@ Persepam Madura Utd
0–2
L
17 May
vs Persib Bandung
1–2
L
9 May
@ Arema FC
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PSS Sleman and PSM Makassar.
What is the prediction for PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar?
On our numbers PSS Sleman have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and PSM Makassar 37%.
How many goals will there be in PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar?
Our predicted score is PSS Sleman 2–1 PSM Makassar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar?
PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar (Liga 1) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Maguwoharjo Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.