Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultPersebaya Surabaya to win ✗66% · @1.60
Double chancePersebaya Surabaya or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.14
Persebaya Surabaya vs PSS Sleman: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
PSS Sleman travel to face Persebaya Surabaya on Sunday 18 October in the Liga 1, with Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 09:30 WAT. In the table, Persebaya Surabaya are 8th, upper half, on 13 points after 9 matches; PSS Sleman are 16th (in the drop zone) with 5.
Current form
Persebaya Surabaya, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Isenmulang Kalteng, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
PSS Sleman, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over PSM Makassar, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Persebaya Surabaya, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for PSS Sleman.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Persebaya Surabaya 1.7 xG, PSS Sleman 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Persebaya Surabaya 66%, draw 19%, PSS Sleman 15%.
Lower-risk option: Persebaya Surabaya or draw (85%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Persebaya Surabaya to win (66%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Persebaya Surabaya 1–0 PSS Sleman. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Persebaya Surabaya66%fair 1.52 · @1.60
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @3.75
PSS Sleman15%fair 6.58 · @4.75
2.38Expected goals
1.74Persebaya Surabaya xG
0.64PSS Sleman xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Persebaya Surabaya 1.7 – 0.6 PSS Sleman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persebaya Surabaya to win✗
66%
1.52
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Persebaya Surabaya or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.60
Draw no bet
Persebaya Surabaya (draw no bet)
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Persebaya Surabaya -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Persebaya Surabaya to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Persebaya Surabaya ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persebaya Surabaya / FT Persebaya Surabaya✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.14
–
Recent results
Persebaya Surabaya – last 6
WDWDDW
9 Oct
@ Isenmulang Kalteng
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Garudayaksa
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs PSIM Yogyakarta
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Bhayangkara FC
1–1
D
6 Aug
@ Persib Bandung
1–1
D
4 Aug
vs Arema FC
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
PSS Sleman – last 6
WLLLWD
11 Oct
vs PSM Makassar
3–0
W
20 Sep
@ Dewa United
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Persepam Madura Utd
1–3
L
4 Sep
@ Bali United
1–2
L
3 May
vs PSIS Semarang
3–0
W
26 Apr
@ Persiba Balikpapan
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Persebaya Surabaya and PSS Sleman.
What is the prediction for Persebaya Surabaya vs PSS Sleman?
Our pick is Persebaya Surabaya to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Persebaya Surabaya vs PSS Sleman?
On our numbers Persebaya Surabaya have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and PSS Sleman 15%.
How many goals will there be in Persebaya Surabaya vs PSS Sleman?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persebaya Surabaya vs PSS Sleman?
Our predicted score is Persebaya Surabaya 1–0 PSS Sleman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Persebaya Surabaya vs PSS Sleman?
Persebaya Surabaya vs PSS Sleman (Liga 1) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
