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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Persija v Persebaya Surabaya: numbers & prediction

Liga 1 · Indonesia · Bung Karno Stadium

Persija

LWWLW
1–0
FT

Persebaya Surabaya

DWLDW
Persija 67%Draw 21%Persebaya Surabaya 12% Expected goals 1.98 – 0.72
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultPersija to win ✓67% · @1.54
Double chancePersija or draw ✓88% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.79
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.53

Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 7 November the Liga 1 brings Persija against Persebaya Surabaya at Bung Karno Stadium. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Persija are 1st, leading the league, on 21 points after 9 matches; Persebaya Surabaya are 8th (upper half) with 13.

Current form

Persija, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dewa United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Persebaya Surabaya, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Persijap, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Persija, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Persebaya Surabaya.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Jul 2026) it ended Persebaya Surabaya 1–0 Persija.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Persija 2.0 xG, Persebaya Surabaya 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Persija 67%, draw 21%, Persebaya Surabaya 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.79.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Persija 2–0 Persebaya Surabaya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Persija67%fair 1.50 · @1.54
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.68
Persebaya Surabaya12%fair 8.05 · @5.00
2.71Expected goals
1.98Persija xG
0.72Persebaya Surabaya xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%

From our goals model: Persija 2.0 – 0.7 Persebaya Surabaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPersija to win ✓67%1.501.54
Double chancePersija or draw ✓88%1.141.09
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.771.79
Draw no betPersija (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapPersija -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.341.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.79
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.421.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.171.08
First team to scorePersija to score first ✓68%1.46–
Half-time resultPersija ahead at half-time ✗48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Persija / FT Persija ✗43%2.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.53–

Recent results

Persija – last 6

LWWLWW
31 Oct@ Dewa United1–2L
26 Octvs Persik Kediri2–1W
21 Octvs Arema FC5–1W
17 Oct@ Persita2–3L
10 Oct@ PSIM Yogyakarta4–0W
19 Sepvs Java United1–0W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Persebaya Surabaya – last 6

DWLDWD
30 Octvs Persijap1–1D
26 Octvs Persepam Madura Utd3–1W
22 Oct@ PSM Makassar0–1L
18 Octvs PSS Sleman2–2D
9 Oct@ Isenmulang Kalteng1–0W
19 Sepvs Garudayaksa1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Jul 2026Persebaya Surabaya v Persija1–0
Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya head-to-head page →

Liga 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Persija9702+1121
2Dewa United9621+420
3Bali United9612+1719
4Persepam Madura Utd9612+619
5Persib Bandung9513+616
6Persita8431+615
7Java United9432+313
8Persebaya Surabaya9342+213
9Bhayangkara FC9261+112
10Garudayaksa9324-411
11Pusamania Borneo8314-210
12PSM Makassar9243-410
13Persik Kediri9315-510
14Arema FC9234-39
15Isenmulang Kalteng9225-126
16PSS Sleman9126-55
17PSIM Yogyakarta9126-85
18Persijap9027-132

More Liga 1 predictions

League hub
FT Pusamania Borneo1 PSM Makassar1 162%1.57X19%3.64218%4.75 1.8–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.30 ✓
FT Persijap1 Garudayaksa2 132%2.85X22%3.26247%2.15 1.2–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓
FT Persita0 Isenmulang Kalteng1 170%1.30X17%4.55212%7.50 2.2–0.8xG 1Persita to win 70%@1.30 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya?

On our numbers Persija have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Persebaya Surabaya 12%.

How many goals will there be in Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Our predicted score is Persija 2–0 Persebaya Surabaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya (Liga 1) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Bung Karno Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.