Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Cruzeiro to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCruzeiro to win ✗62% · @1.95
Double chanceCruzeiro or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.41
Cruzeiro vs Atletico-MG: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico-MG travel to face Cruzeiro on Wednesday 26 August in the Copa Do Brasil – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT.
Current form
Cruzeiro, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Flamengo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Atletico-MG, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Internacional, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Cruzeiro 1–3 Atletico-MG.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cruzeiro 1.6 xG, Atletico-MG 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cruzeiro 62%, draw 25%, Atletico-MG 13%.
Lower-risk option: Cruzeiro or draw (87%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Cruzeiro to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cruzeiro or draw (87%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cruzeiro 1–0 Atletico-MG. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cruzeiro62%fair 1.62 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.25
Atletico-MG13%fair 7.54 · @4.00
2.14Expected goals
1.57Cruzeiro xG
0.57Atletico-MG xG
49%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Cruzeiro 1.6 – 0.6 Atletico-MG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro vs Atletico-MG?
Our pick is Cruzeiro or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cruzeiro vs Atletico-MG?
On our numbers Cruzeiro have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atletico-MG 13%.
How many goals will there be in Cruzeiro vs Atletico-MG?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruzeiro vs Atletico-MG?
Our predicted score is Cruzeiro 1–0 Atletico-MG, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Cruzeiro vs Atletico-MG?
Cruzeiro vs Atletico-MG (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
