Internacional 62%Draw 23%Gremio 15%Expected goals 1.78 – 0.73
85%
Betarazi pick
Internacional or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Internacional to win @ 1.93 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultInternacional to win ✗62% · @1.93
Double chanceInternacional or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.63
Internacional vs Gremio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 28 August the Copa Do Brasil brings Internacional against Gremio. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT.
Current form
Internacional, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Atletico-MG, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Gremio, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to RB Bragantino, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Apr 2026) it ended Internacional 0–0 Gremio.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Internacional 1.8 xG, Gremio 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Internacional 62%, draw 23%, Gremio 15%.
Lower-risk option: Internacional or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Internacional to win @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Internacional or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Internacional 1–0 Gremio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Internacional62%fair 1.60 · @1.93
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.30
Gremio15%fair 6.71 · @4.00
2.51Expected goals
1.78Internacional xG
0.73Gremio xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Internacional 1.8 – 0.7 Gremio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Internacional vs Gremio?
Our pick is Internacional or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Internacional vs Gremio?
On our numbers Internacional have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gremio 15%.
How many goals will there be in Internacional vs Gremio?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Internacional vs Gremio?
Our predicted score is Internacional 1–0 Gremio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Internacional vs Gremio?
Internacional vs Gremio (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
