Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAtletico-MG to win ✓40% · @2.56
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓7% · fair 13.57
Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Wednesday 2 September: Atletico-MG v Cruzeiro in the Copa Do Brasil, played at MRV Arena.
Current form
Atletico-MG, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Vitoria, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cruzeiro, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Vasco DA Gama, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Atletico-MG, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Cruzeiro.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Aug 2026) it ended Cruzeiro 1–1 Atletico-MG. The last 2 head-to-heads: Atletico-MG 1 win, Cruzeiro 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico-MG 1.1 xG, Cruzeiro 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico-MG 40%, draw 25%, Cruzeiro 35%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico-MG 1–1 Cruzeiro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico-MG40%fair 2.49 · @2.56
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.98
Cruzeiro35%fair 2.83 · @2.92
2.09Expected goals
1.09Atletico-MG xG
1.00Cruzeiro xG
55%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Atletico-MG 1.1 – 1.0 Cruzeiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro?
On our numbers Atletico-MG have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cruzeiro 35%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro?
Our predicted score is Atletico-MG 1–1 Cruzeiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro?
Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at MRV Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
