Value bet: Gremio to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultInternacional to win ✗40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.51
Gremio vs Internacional: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Internacional travel to face Gremio on Friday 4 September in the Copa Do Brasil – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT.
Current form
Gremio, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Chapecoense-sc, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Internacional, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Bahia, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Gremio, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Internacional.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Aug 2026) it ended Internacional 0–0 Gremio. The last 2 head-to-heads: Gremio 0 wins, Internacional 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 0.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gremio 1.0 xG, Internacional 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gremio 36%, draw 24%, Internacional 40%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Gremio to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gremio 0–1 Internacional. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gremio36%fair 2.78 · @3.20
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.00
Internacional40%fair 2.51 · @2.25
2.10Expected goals
1.01Gremio xG
1.09Internacional xG
48%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–27%
0–27%
From our goals model: Gremio 1.0 – 1.1 Internacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gremio vs Internacional?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Gremio vs Internacional?
On our numbers Gremio have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Internacional 40%.
How many goals will there be in Gremio vs Internacional?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gremio vs Internacional?
Our predicted score is Gremio 0–1 Internacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Gremio vs Internacional?
Gremio vs Internacional (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
