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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fulham v AFC Wimbledon: numbers & prediction

League Cup · England · Craven Cottage

Fulham

LWDLW
3–0
FT
Fulham 70%Draw 17%AFC Wimbledon 13% Expected goals 2.29 – 0.86
62%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 56% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFulham to win ✓70% · @1.17
Double chanceFulham or draw ✓87% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35

Fulham vs AFC Wimbledon: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Thursday 27 August: Fulham v AFC Wimbledon in the League Cup, played at Craven Cottage.

Current form

Fulham, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Chelsea, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

AFC Wimbledon, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Reading, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Fulham, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for AFC Wimbledon.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fulham 2.3 xG, AFC Wimbledon 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fulham 70%, draw 17%, AFC Wimbledon 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fulham 2–1 AFC Wimbledon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fulham70%fair 1.43 · @1.17
Draw17%fair 5.91 · @6.50
AFC Wimbledon13%fair 7.69 · @16.50
3.14Expected goals
2.29Fulham xG
0.86AFC Wimbledon xG
56%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Fulham 2.3 – 0.9 AFC Wimbledon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFulham to win ✓70%1.431.17
Double chanceFulham or draw ✓87%1.151.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.772.15 ▲
Draw no betFulham (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapFulham -1 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.221.15
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.611.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.701.67
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.311.28
First team to scoreFulham to score first ✓70%1.44–
Half-time resultFulham ahead at half-time ✓51%1.97–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fulham / FT Fulham ✓46%2.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.35–

Recent results

Fulham – last 6

LWDLWD
24 Augvs Chelsea2–3L
15 Augvs VfB Stuttgart1–0W
12 Aug@ Malaga2–2D
7 Augvs Crystal Palace1–2L
1 Aug@ Farense2–1W
28 Jul@ Al-Ahli Jeddah1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

AFC Wimbledon – last 6

DDLDLL
22 Augvs Reading0–0D
18 Aug@ Leyton Orient1–1D
15 Aug@ Huddersfield0–3L
8 Augvs Newport County1–1D
1 Augvs QPR2–3L
28 Jul@ Wealdstone0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Fulham and AFC Wimbledon.

Fulham vs AFC Wimbledon head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fulham vs AFC Wimbledon?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Fulham vs AFC Wimbledon?

On our numbers Fulham have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 17% and AFC Wimbledon 13%.

How many goals will there be in Fulham vs AFC Wimbledon?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fulham vs AFC Wimbledon?

Our predicted score is Fulham 2–1 AFC Wimbledon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Fulham vs AFC Wimbledon?

Fulham vs AFC Wimbledon (League Cup) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Craven Cottage.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.