Value bet: Bentín Tacna Heroica to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlianza Universidad to win ✓39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 8.94
Alianza Universidad vs Bentín Tacna Heroica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 24 August the Segunda División brings Alianza Universidad against Bentín Tacna Heroica at Estadio Heraclio Tapia. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Alianza Universidad are 5th, upper half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Bentín Tacna Heroica are 1st (leading the league) with 29.
Current form
Alianza Universidad, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Santos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Bentín Tacna Heroica, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sport Huancayo 2, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Bentín Tacna Heroica, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Alianza Universidad.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Universidad 1.2 xG, Bentín Tacna Heroica 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Universidad 39%, draw 23%, Bentín Tacna Heroica 38%.
Price worth noting: Bentín Tacna Heroica to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Universidad 1–1 Bentín Tacna Heroica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza Universidad39%fair 2.59 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.10
Bentín Tacna Heroica38%fair 2.61 · @3.10
2.36Expected goals
1.18Alianza Universidad xG
1.18Bentín Tacna Heroica xG
46%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Alianza Universidad 1.2 – 1.2 Bentín Tacna Heroica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Universidad to win✓
39%
2.59
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Alianza Universidad (draw no bet)✓
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Bentín Tacna Heroica +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Alianza Universidad to score first✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza Universidad / FT Alianza Universidad✗
20%
4.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
8.94
–
Recent results
Alianza Universidad – last 6
DDLWWL
17 Aug
@ Santos
3–3
D
31 Jul
vs Sport Huancayo 2
1–1
D
24 Jul
@ Comerciantes
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Ayacucho FC
3–2
W
26 Jun
vs Minas
3–1
W
19 Jun
@ ADT
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bentín Tacna Heroica – last 6
WDWWWD
16 Aug
vs Sport Huancayo 2
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Comerciantes
2–2
D
2 Aug
vs Ayacucho FC
2–0
W
26 Jul
@ Deportivo Binacional
3–0
W
19 Jul
vs Minas
2–1
W
11 Jul
@ Sporting Cristal
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza Universidad and Bentín Tacna Heroica.
What is the prediction for Alianza Universidad vs Bentín Tacna Heroica?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Alianza Universidad vs Bentín Tacna Heroica?
On our numbers Alianza Universidad have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bentín Tacna Heroica 38%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Universidad vs Bentín Tacna Heroica?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Universidad vs Bentín Tacna Heroica?
Our predicted score is Alianza Universidad 1–1 Bentín Tacna Heroica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Alianza Universidad vs Bentín Tacna Heroica?
Alianza Universidad vs Bentín Tacna Heroica (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heraclio Tapia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
