Value bet: Larisa to win @ 2.60 – our chance 46% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLarisa to win ✓46% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.93
Kallithea vs Larisa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Larisa travel to face Kallithea on Monday 17 August in the Cup – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.
Current form
Kallithea, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to AEK Athens FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Larisa, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Trikala, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Kallithea, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Larisa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kallithea 1.4 xG, Larisa 1.8 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 54% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kallithea 31%, draw 23%, Larisa 46%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Larisa to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.36 – longer than our fair 1.32, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kallithea 1–1 Larisa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kallithea31%fair 3.26 · @2.60
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.10
Larisa46%fair 2.17 · @2.60
3.23Expected goals
1.43Kallithea xG
1.80Larisa xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%
From our goals model: Kallithea 1.4 – 1.8 Larisa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Larisa to win✓
46%
2.17
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.77
Draw no bet
Larisa (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Kallithea +1 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
First team to score
Larisa to score first✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Larisa / FT Larisa✓
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.93
–
Recent results
Kallithea – last 6
LDDWWW
8 Aug
@ AEK Athens FC
0–4
L
19 Apr
@ Ellas Syros
0–0
D
4 Apr
vs Panargiakos
1–1
D
29 Mar
@ Ilioupoli
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Kissamikos
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Panargiakos
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Larisa – last 6
WLDDLD
11 Aug
@ Trikala
4–0
W
21 May
@ Kifisia
2–3
L
12 May
@ Panetolikos
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Kifisia
1–1
D
8 Apr
vs Panetolikos
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs PAOK
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kallithea and Larisa.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Kallithea vs Larisa?
On our numbers Kallithea have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Larisa 46%.
How many goals will there be in Kallithea vs Larisa?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kallithea vs Larisa?
Our predicted score is Kallithea 1–1 Larisa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Kallithea vs Larisa?
Kallithea vs Larisa (Cup) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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