Liverpool Montevideo 60%Draw 25%Cerro 15%Expected goals 1.62 – 0.68
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultLiverpool Montevideo to win ✓60% · @1.61
Double chanceLiverpool Montevideo or draw ✓85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.16
Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:00 WAT, Friday 21 August: Liverpool Montevideo v Cerro in the Primera División Apertura, played at Estadio Belvedere. In the table, Liverpool Montevideo are 1st, leading the league, on 30 points after 13 matches; Cerro are 9th (lower half) with 18. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Liverpool Montevideo, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Defensor Sporting, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Cerro, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Albion FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Jul 2026) it ended Liverpool Montevideo 1–2 Cerro. The last 2 head-to-heads: Liverpool Montevideo 0 wins, Cerro 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Liverpool Montevideo 1.6 xG, Cerro 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Liverpool Montevideo 60%, draw 25%, Cerro 15%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Liverpool Montevideo 1–0 Cerro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Liverpool Montevideo60%fair 1.67 · @1.61
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.45
Cerro15%fair 6.63 · @5.60
2.30Expected goals
1.62Liverpool Montevideo xG
0.68Cerro xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Liverpool Montevideo 1.6 – 0.7 Cerro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool Montevideo to win✓
60%
1.67
1.61
Double chance
Liverpool Montevideo or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.65
Draw no bet
Liverpool Montevideo (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Liverpool Montevideo -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Liverpool Montevideo to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool Montevideo / FT Liverpool Montevideo✗
What is the prediction for Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro?
On our numbers Liverpool Montevideo have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cerro 15%.
How many goals will there be in Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro?
Our predicted score is Liverpool Montevideo 1–0 Cerro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro?
Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Belvedere.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
